NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1226–1250 of 3,881
It's the Steelers... Is it nine to eight and they squeak in or is it ten and seven and they have a nice comfortable wild card. It is still going to happen. I won't deviate.
He comes in as wide receiver thirty five, and both of you guys say, no, no... Fitzy, you've got him at twenty nine.
Ericson, you've got him at thirty.
FITZI, you are the wide receiver one on Michael Pittman... Yeah, and I do have Pittman ahead of Pickens.
you two are both quite a bit higher than consensus on Rashi Rice, Fitz, You've got him at four
He's only at thirty one... Ericson you aren't consensus... that's why I have him closer to the mid range wide receiver three.
He's only at thirty one. Fitzi, you've got him at twenty seven.
T Higgins Wide Receiver twenty two going up against the Chicago Bears... Ericson's right on consensus... he's still going to be in your lineup as a wide receiver two.
Fitzi, you're at twenty four, Ericson you're at twenty six.
ECR thirty two. Fitzy, you've got him at thirty two
Erickson, what do you think you've got him at thirteen?
Travis Hunter is ECR twenty seven. Fitzi you're at thirty
FITZI you are, You're a high man here. You've got him at eighteen.
And I am making this ranking with the projection that Kyler Murray is going to play
He is wide receiver eighteen. You guys are a little bit flipped on this Fitz a year a little bit lower at twenty two
more significantly about Brian Thomas. Fitzi, you're at twenty four
Fact or fiction. Travis Hunter is the number one wide receiver in Jacksonville over Brian Thomas. Rest of season ericson in fact, FITZI fiction
Ericson you're back at three... And I'm looking at my rank at him at number three
it kicks off off with no other than Jamar Chase Pukinakua, Jackson Smith and Jigba Cde Lambamnas, Saint Brown and Rashi Rice... Going up to thirty thirty one to thirty six is Wandell, Robinson, Quentin Johnston, Romeo Dobbs, DJ Moore, Jamison Williams, and Juwan Jennings.
Fitzi you're at thirty and Ericson you're at twenty nine.
But I think Chicago could win outright and six and a half points. I just think the Ravens have not earned the right to be a touchdown favorite. So I'll take Chicago plus the six and a half.
I do know that the Miami defense can't deal with Bijon all lay the seven and a half with Atlanta.
I think Travis scores... Travis Kelcey plus one twenty anytime touchdown.
I'm not sure I'm riding with you on the pick, but I think Denver might be able to win in a shootout.
I think green Bay's better than Pittsburgh... And I just think green Bay is due for a statement game. Green Bay minus three.