NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1376–1400 of 3,881
you have Thornton as your number three, Hollywood is your four, Juju is depth
He is ECR eighteen. Both of you have got him higher. Fitzy at fifteen, Erickson's at fourteen
FITZI, you got them quite a bit higher. You've got him at sixteen.
You guys are both lower, Fitzi at nineteen, Ericson at twenty four
Yeah, I've got QJ wide receiver twenty Lad twenty two, Keenan Allen twenty three.
You've got him at thirty two, Ericson, you've got him at twenty nine.
He is going to have an enhanced role with Tyreek Hill out
You guys don't agree, though, you guys both have him as wide receiver twenty.
Yeah, I've got QJ wide receiver twenty Lad twenty two, Keenan Allen twenty three.
Fits You've got him at thirty one. Ericson, you got him at forty
Fitzi you've got him at nine ... I don't think it's crazy to rank this undeniably great player as a mid range or low end wide receiver one
Ericson, you got him at forty, so kind of bearing him down there
Ericson you've got him at six ... this is when you buy the dip on Jamar Chase. So I'm starting him no matter what.
I have him at twenty three, and I think that if you can make a compelling case to start somebody over him, I would.
Fitzi at nineteen, Ericson at twenty four, even lower
Let's look at the top twelve for week five. Starts with Puka Nakua... followed by Jamison Williams, DeVante Smith, Wandel Robinson, Jordan Addison, Stefan Diggs, Juwan Jennings... t Higgins, Khalil Shakir, Chris Godwin, Kean Coleman, and Trey Tucker.
Yes, he's more of that wide receiver too, just because I don't think the other guys completely go away. But Yeah, I'm in on Lad this week.
Quinton Johnson now needs to be looked at as the number one in this offense
ericson you got him at twenty three ... So I think that this is a bounce back game for Jacoby Myers
He becomes the de facto number one. I think that puts him in a good spot.
Yeah, I've got QJ wide receiver twenty Lad twenty two, Keenan Allen twenty three.
Erickson's at fourteen ... You gotta be above consensus on Jayla Wattle because he's gonna deliver a smash week.
I love Minnesota laying a field laying less than a field goal... So I love Minnesota minus two and a half.
If I had to bet a side here, I would definitely bet green Bay... I think that a blowout is far more likely than a Dallas victory.
I've divided the entire league into different groups... dead last in the NFL, I would put the Titans that's thirty two. Saints would be next, Dolphins at thirty... the Carolina Panthers... The Jets above them... The Raider, the Giants, and then at the very top of this list, the Browns... this is the number twenty one team overall, the Bears. Then the Bengals have the Patriots at twenty three and the Cowboys at twenty four... I'm putting the Vikings at the top of that list. The Jaguars are next... Stealers. Below them right in the middle of the NFL at sixteen, The Broncos at seventeen... The Texans... The Cardinals and the Falcons... number ten... The Seahawks... The Colts at eleven... The Commander's at twelve and then the forty nine ers... I'm putting the Packers... number one, the Lions and Eagles right behind them... So they're there at four, Bills at five, Ravens at six, and then the Rams, the Bucks, and... the Kansas City Chiefs