NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,989
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 366
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,989
takes graded
5,108 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB72 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB52 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jaxson DartQB45 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles374 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs353 takes
- Buffalo Bills303 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- New England Patriots292 takes
- Baltimore Ravens285 takes
- Miami Dolphins282 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders275 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons148 takes
- New Orleans Saints160 takes
- Arizona Cardinals163 takes
- Carolina Panthers166 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals171 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- New York Jets173 takes
- Minnesota Vikings181 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1626–1650 of 3,881
I think the Niners could win nine and Seahawks win the tiebreaker.
Patriots' most improved team get in as a wild card team.
Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys... I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.
take a look at Trevor Lawrence and Travis Hunter. I like Jacks
Patriots Bengals Chiefs are wild card teams.
Yeah, I got him at ten wins.
Lions have two new coordinators, but I love almost everything else about the organization... I only have one new team making the playoffs in the NFC, it's the Seahawks.
I think Seahawks could win nine games.
the winner, I'll say the Cincinnati Bengals finally get their Super Bowl ring.
Joe Burrow takes home the MVP honors for the game
Then in the title game, they are going to beat Baltimore
I know you talked about Zach Bond being your prediction for defensive player of the Year, but I actually picked a teammate of yours, Jalen Carter.
a matchup was the Rams versus the Ravens... Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, after twelve long years, get another super Bowl.
I'm gonna keep it Eagles because Zach Bond last year... But I think he'll repeat this year
Bronco's out of the AFC, Vikings out of the NFC... and I believe the Vikings will come out victorious
You know who the Super Bowl MVP is going to be. It's not going to be Josh Allen. I thought it's going to be James Cook.
Bills are going to make the playoffs.
Bills twenty, Eagles nineteen.
I had not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson
In the wildcowd round, they are going to beat the Steelers.
In the divisional round, they are going to beat the Chiefs.
The Buffalo Bills are going to win the Super Bowl this year.
not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson
the Minnesota Vikings, in their fifth Super Bowl appearance, will finally for the first time in the history of the organization win a Lombardy
if you saw my MVP prediction yesterday, you saw that I chose Lamar Jackson as my MVP