NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,989
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 366
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,989
takes graded
5,108 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB72 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB52 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jaxson DartQB45 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles374 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs353 takes
- Buffalo Bills303 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- New England Patriots292 takes
- Baltimore Ravens285 takes
- Miami Dolphins282 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders275 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons148 takes
- New Orleans Saints160 takes
- Arizona Cardinals163 takes
- Carolina Panthers166 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals171 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- New York Jets173 takes
- Minnesota Vikings181 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1651–1675 of 3,881
if you saw my MVP prediction yesterday, you saw that I chose Lamar Jackson as my MVP
the Jaguars go ten and seven
Bills leading the way at twelve and five
Brown's at five and twelve, which I think hits
Mind you, Pittsburgh Steelers, they go nine and seven... I don't know how the hell I said Pittsburgh. What I say nine ten and seven... But at ten and seven, I look at that
I've got the Baltimore Ravens finishing second, and then I've got Pittsburgh finishing third, followed by the Cleveland Browns
I have New England at the bottom, all the way at the bottom... the New York Jets won't be far off from them... the runner up are the Fins. Yeah, the Miami Dolphins. I got the mat number two, and that means that Buffalo is going to win the AFC East
Broncos at seven and ten
the Colts at four and thirteen
They do make it in as the sixth seed, though a wildcard seed nonetheless
I got the Texans winning it... I put the Jags at too... But I got Tennessee at three and I got Indy at four.
beating out Baltimore at twelve and five
Dolphins at seven and ten
I've got the Chargers going ten and seven. They do make it in as the sixth seed
Jets at six and eleven
at fourteen and three out of the Kansasity Chiefs
the Titans of five and twelve
the Patriots at ten and seven they get the final wild card spots
I feel like Sincinnian and Baltimore anny playoff teams
I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.
the Patriots at ten and seven they get the final wild card spots
The Texans go ten and seven
I got them one, Baltimore two, Pittsburgh rounding it out at three. And yes, the Cleveland Brown's kicking the can at four
I've got the Houston Texans finishing one, follow by the Jaguars, the Colts, and the Titans.
Raiders at six at eleven