NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,989
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 366
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,989
takes graded
5,108 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB72 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB52 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jaxson DartQB45 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles374 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs353 takes
- Buffalo Bills303 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- New England Patriots292 takes
- Baltimore Ravens285 takes
- Miami Dolphins282 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders275 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons148 takes
- New Orleans Saints160 takes
- Arizona Cardinals163 takes
- Carolina Panthers166 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals171 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- New York Jets173 takes
- Minnesota Vikings181 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1926–1950 of 3,881
Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs
the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus three eighty
Vegas six and a half at minus one hundred and forty five
Kansas City over eleven and a half at plus one hundred
It is the Indianapolis Colt. Let's go under.
And listen, I on my show, I picked the Raiders to make the playoffs.
I'm taking Saints under five and a half before anyone else does
And that is the Las Vegas Raiders... I need seven wins for this. I think the Raiders over is a very very healthy bet.
I have them in the playoffs like the Cowboys, this year.
going Bears under for the fourth straight year, even though I do think they will be better eight and a half
Yes, I think they could have the number one pick of the draft.
So I like the Jets to go like seven and ten. I feel good about over five and a halfs.
So I had the Commanders and the Eagles both eleven and six.
The Giants over five and a half takes the little guts, but I do believe in it.
I'm gonna go with one that I think you could take the Niners under ten and a half.
that is the nobody believes in US underdog Kansas City Chiefs to go over eleven and a half wins
I'm gonna go Cowboys over seven and a half... I think they're gonna win ten games. I have them in the playoffs like the Cowboys, this year.
let's go Vikings over eight and a half
I'm gonna go Bengals under nine and a half
the Denver Broncos are not winning ten games under nine and a half
I'm taking the Lions over ten and a half as my first pick.
If you wanna, if you wanna step up here, make it eight and we go on different sides... Yeah, sure deal
the Jaguars over seven and a half... I think they can get to ten. So I will go over Jacksonville.
The Ravens over eleven and a half doesn't take a lot of guts, but I do think they'll they'll get there.
I'll vote Commanders under nine and a half.