NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2301–2325 of 3,881
I don't think Kenny is going to be the number one guy... So I think that's their number one guy going into it.
I think the old man ends up winning Joe Blackout. I think he's on that roster to win the job... I really do think that the math game of all this ends up with Flacco as a starter
I think this guy has all pro potential, and I really will stand on that. Not this year
definitely definitely top ten receiving in NFLS season.
how George Kittle is number one and I think he's going to continue to... he's going to continue to be that number one tight end
Sam Laporter comes in at my number five on the best tight ends in the current league... Travis Kelce is number four on my list... Trey McBride... He is brock Bowers... Number one... George Chittle
I think Kansas City is a wild card team.
Again, I was gonna say three to fourteen is not off the radar.
Daniel Jones leads the Colts to the playoffs.
Let's say he doesn't win a ring. I think he will and I think he'll win a couple
I think they're an eleven twelve win team.
So I would expect We talked about this yesterday. Jackson dart to be inserted much earlier than later.
Again, they're just looking nine to ten wins. I'm not talking twelve thirteen.
I don't think they're going to be a six win team, but I think eight is probably the number. Mike Tomlin finally losing record.
my take is, I didn't love the draft of Jackson Dart because Russell's gonna start
This is a this tough schedule. Colling Thiss got four or five wins written all over it.
Speaking of the Patriots, I think they make the playoffs.
This race is over. He's going to be the starting quarterback.
I believe that josh Allen will get a Super Bowl ring for it's all said and done.
I also though, if he has the Patriots and who's the other team he is in the playoffs, Oh the Colts.
there are some teams everyone has penciled into the playoffs that are going to be left without a chair... It's not gonna be the Chiefs without a chair
And let's face it, the Anthey Richardson. He is the new version of Trey Lance. They swung for the fences that they whiffed.
if he has the Patriots and who's the other team he is in the playoffs, Oh the Colts. I respect that
Gregg Rosenthal's picks in the running back draft: 2nd Bijan Robinson, 4th Jahmyr Gibbs, 6th Ashton Jeanty, 8th Kyren Williams, 10th James Conner, 12th Aaron Jones, 14th Bucky Irving, 16th Omarion Hampton, 18th Tony Pollard, 20th Kenneth Walker.
Nick Shook's picks in the running back draft: 1st Saquon Barkley, 3rd Derrick Henry, 5th Josh Jacobs, 7th Christian McCaffrey, 9th James Cook, 11th Jonathan Taylor, 13th Alvin Kamara, 15th Joe Mixon, 17th De'Von Achane, 19th David Montgomery.