Matt Miller· Feb 23, 2026
Miller says Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick and hypes Oregon tight end 'Kenyan' (Kenyon Sadiq) as a first-round pick who could be the best performer at the combine with a vertical over 41 inches.
“We know Mendoza is gonna go first.”
said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks, 1 combine measurement and 1 combine superlative — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2025 season · overall pick17 calls from 13 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Matt Miller said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Combine MeasurementsKenyon SadiqFeb 23, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to post should jump over 41 inches at the combine
“He should jump over 41 inches Bench press is gonna be through the roof.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- should jump over 41 inches
- drill:
- vertical in
- naive:
- the TE median (36) misses it
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- result:
- 43.5
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqFeb 23, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I think we have one first round wide receiver that's Kenyan from Oregon who is a he's a athletic freak.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaFeb 23, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“We know Mendoza is gonna go first. He's not pushing up there, but he puts himself in that conversation as a viable franchise quarterback.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Combine SuperlativesKenyon SadiqFeb 23, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to lead his drill at the combine
“I won't be surprised if he is the best performer this week at the scouting combine.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Fernando MendozaHit · 100Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Shannon SharpeProspect vs Prospect Calls · Fernando MendozaHit · 100Sharpe expects Myles Garrett, now with the Rams, to remain dominant and post at least 14-15 sacks, and he also thinks Micah Parsons will again reach double-digit sacks. He predicts the Dolphins win only two games this season, and says Jeremiah Smith won't go ahead of Mendoza at the top of the draft.
- Daniel JeremiahCombine Measurements · Kenyon SadiqClose · 70On Move the Sticks, Daniel Jeremiah gave his views on the 2026 draft class: he set his board (Jeremiah Love as the second-best player, Malinoi 12th, Fano 14th), ranked the top edge rushers Bailey-Reese-Bain, projected draft ranges for several prospects, and forecast measurables for a few players.
- Albert BreerCombine Measurements · Kenyon SadiqClose · 65Breer says he would be stunned if Fernando Mendoza did not go No. 1 overall to the Raiders, and he flags Oregon tight end Kenyon Sadiq as a combine standout who could run in the 4.3s and jump 40 inches.
- Pat FitzmauriceCombine Measurements · Kenyon SadiqClose · 59Fitzmaurice made the even-numbered picks in the mock, sending Ruben Bain to the Jets at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at 5, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at 8, Spencer Fano to Miami at 11, Peter Woods to Baltimore at 14, Kadyn Proctor to Detroit at 17, TJ Parker to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Denzel Boston to Buffalo at 26, Monroe Freeling to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32. He also predicted Sadiq runs about a 4.5 at the combine and that Johnson really goes in the second round.
- Daniel JeremiahCombine Measurements · Kenyon SadiqClose · 70In a pre-combine media Q&A, Jeremiah lays out his draft board: he expects an edge rusher to go early (Jets at 2, Arizona at 3), ranks Ruben Bain third among the top edge trio, sees Ty Simpson as the second quarterback with a 30s-40s grade, places Fernando Mendoza above the 2023 class's top three, and predicts specific players' landing spots and rounds.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.