Dan Patrick· Feb 28, 2025
Discussing the Giants' options at No. 3, Dan Patrick said Cam Ward would be the first quarterback taken in the draft, with Shedeur Sanders the next quarterback off the board.
“More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
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2 checkable claims — 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 30.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish2They said
6What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsShedeur SandersFeb 28, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 37.51-12.51 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 14 at random averages 37.51
- skill:
- -12.51
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 37.51
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 6
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Order CallsCam WardFeb 28, 2025
Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board
“More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
- skill:
- 75.8
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 24.2
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Kyle BrandtMock Draft Picks · Cam WardHit · 100Brandt insists Cam Ward will be the No. 1 overall pick as the best player in the draft, and predicts Ashton Jeanty won't fall past pick six or seven.
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
- Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Schrager expects the top of the draft to be quarterback-driven, with Cam Ward going first overall and Shedeur Sanders second. He also thinks Sam Darnold returns to Minnesota, Justin Fields starts somewhere (likely staying in Pittsburgh rather than joining the Jets), and the Eagles lose free agents like Milton Williams and Josh Sweat.
- Cody KesslerMock Draft Picks · Cam WardHit · 100Kessler disagreed that the Titans can skip a quarterback, predicting Tennessee takes Cam Ward with the first overall pick, and said Ward will be the first quarterback drafted in this class.
- Cynthia FrelundMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0In her first mock draft for 2025, Frelund has the Titans taking Travis Hunter first overall rather than a quarterback, and Shedeur Sanders going ninth to the Saints; she also says her simulations have Hunter off the board no later than third overall.
- Richard ShermanMock Draft Picks · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Sherman picks the Eagles to beat the Rams in the divisional round, the Ravens to beat the Bills in Buffalo, and the Chiefs to beat the Texans at home. He also expects Sam Darnold to stay in Minnesota for at least one more year, says Shedeur Sanders should be gone within the top five picks, and predicts Dak Prescott remains Dallas's starting quarterback.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Olaivavega IoaneMiss · 35Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Rhett LewisPosition Order Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.
- Nick WrightPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.
- Todd McShayPosition Order Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven.
- Keith SanchezPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonClose · 71As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams.
- Field YatesPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonHit · 100As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46.