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97.54% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Move the Sticks (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 3 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 78.5 accuracy (3 settled)
676–700 of 1,103
890 / 1,103
graded
213 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when its writers strayed: 72.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 91.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (2 settled)
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
I have the Chargers with an AFC wild card. I trust Jim Harba implicitly as a coach.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
The Steelers are your free space in bingo... because this is the easiest pick on the board.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
I believe in Drake May is ascending... Welcome back the Pats to the playoffs. Foxborough, Good morning. You're in the AFC playoffs
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
I got the Packers... They had Michael Parsons, Matt Lafleur, too good of a coach, too many weapons
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
You know who I think is gonna win the NFC West... the Seattle Seahawks. I've got the Seahawks winning the West
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
Tampa Bay you win the NFC South, I love you.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Than out Bills again? More T shirts?... But they do get another one this year. AFC East
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
they have won about fifty division titles in a row, and the Kansas City Chiefs will continue. No hot take from me. I go with the Chiefs
Chicago Bears to win the division
I believe that the Chicago Bears, the pride and joy of Illinois, will win the NFC North in twenty twenty five.
Houston Texans to win the division
in the AFC South, no, I have these guys. I have the Texans... careening down the freeway in Houston to a division title.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
NFC East, super Bowl champs, Philadelphia Eagles.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
next in the AFC North. Right here, baby, right here... The Baltimore Ravens roster is ridiculous.
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
I love Jayden. I love that they got Debo and scary tarians back. I got the Washingtons
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
KB Tows, the Chiefs... And when these guys right here come get into the playoffs... because these guys this is another free space.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
that's what it's like for the l A Chargers, LA Chargers, you are there
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
I got the Steelers... You are my seventh seed in the playoff, Steelers
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
I got the San Francisco forty nine ers as a Simon seed in my playoff picture
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
The Detroit Lions over there, they just know something about just just execution... I got the Detroit Lions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
I love Baker Mayfield... these guys are going to be the NFC South champs. I got the type of baby books
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
I got the La Rams is the NFC West Champs
Denver Broncos to win the division
will lead the Denver Broncos and that nasty defense to the AFC West Championship the first time in ten years
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
Lay up, Baltimore Ravens. A FC North.
Houston Texans to win the division
Now AFC South... we're gonna go all the way over here to Houston, where we have c J. Stroud going into his third year
Buffalo Bills to win the division
Let's get the Buffalo Bills in their MVP... So I got the Buffalo Bills at the AFC East.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
NFC East, Philadelphia Eagles... NFC East Champs, Philly