NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,670
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 349
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,670
takes graded
4,789 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR53 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles315 takes
- Los Angeles Rams301 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens283 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders262 takes
- Seattle Seahawks246 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- Carolina Panthers156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
851–875 of 3,881
deep down kind of think Buffalo is gonna win this game by one, and so like that a twenty four to twenty three Bill's win
I think right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams, but I think Seahawks can do it.
I think Steelers are gonna win... So I'll take Pittsburgh plus the three.
I think the Pats win, but I think the Pats win by three. I'll take the four points.
I took Buffalo minus the point just because if Josh Allen does not go out there and win, it's gonna be really bad for him.
I think right now my pick would be Matt Stafford in the Rams, but I think Seahawks can do it.
deep down kind of think Buffalo is gonna win this game by one, and so like that a twenty four to twenty three Bills win
I think Steelers are gonna win, and I understand Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in a decade.
I would draft him in the fifth round if he was available
Jaguars thirty one to ten, Bills fire their coach
I'm gonna take the Eagles to win and the Eagles to cover twenty eight to twenty.
McDaniel goes to the Lions. That's back to that thirteen five, thirteen four.
drop mock draft one point, Oh, yesterday got my guy Mendoza up top.
I like the Jags to win. Superman or not at quarterback for Buffalo thirteen to twenty seven
you're going to see the two best college quarterbacks that both would be if they came out, it'd be one and two in the draft... I like Mendos a little bit more
What do you think about Caleb Downs? The Ohio State stud have him ten to the Bengals.
I think that the New England Patriots. They win by at least three and a half points, so at least four points... I think the Pats easily win this one.
My second pick, I think the Bills cover the one point spread in Jacksonville.
I feel good about taking the Texans... So I'm taking the Texans to cover those three points.
chargers At Their patriots I'm Taking. Drake may patriots ... i'm Taking the Patriots
Taking forty nine flying with. The hat i'm gonna take the forty nine is
monday night game Is the Texans. Versus Steelers ... monday texas getting this ass out. Of there
who do you like to? Win it? ALL five i like Either the patriots Or. The rams
who do you like to? Win it? ALL five i like Either the patriots Or. The rams
Do you think Ty Simpson of Alabama looked at the landscape and said, yeah, I'm the third best quarterback right now, and that's a good position to be in in this draft. I may have to go late first, early second