NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,670
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 349
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,670
takes graded
4,789 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR53 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles315 takes
- Los Angeles Rams301 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens283 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders262 takes
- Seattle Seahawks246 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- Carolina Panthers156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
951–975 of 3,881
Let's let's go to the Rams... they're seven and a half point favorites. I thought it'd be a little more... I would take ten for the Rams and feel fine about it.
clinch a playoff spot for themselves and the Pittsburgh Steelers
clinch a playoff spot for themselves and the Pittsburgh Steelers
Fitzy, you got him at fourteen fifty... I just think QB ten is too high for a guy who just hasn't been a very good passer over the last month and a half.
I know Lawrence has been great, so I've got him QB ten
I'm ranking Lamar Jackson as if he's going to play, so I have him one spot ahead of Trevor Lawrence
Josh Allen comes in at number one this week... followed by Joe Burrow, Drake may Dak Prescott, Matthew Stafford, and Jalen Hurts... We've got Trevor Lawrence at seven, Jacoby Brissett, Brock Perdy, Caleb Williams, Baker Mayfield, and Tyler shuck, Tyler shuck at your twelve spot
Ericson you got him at six... I don't know if they need all four quarters for him to be a fantasy QB one.
Ericson you got him at ten... I think that he can be a back end fantasy QB one
It's a smash. You've got him at tight end seven
because he's gonna put up thirty five points against the Vegles, especially coming off for a dud performance
I moved him up one spot this morning to tight end thirteen.
You've got him at fifteen... I feel like the Saints are just going to lean into what they did with him last week
we've got Trey McBride at number one, George Kittle at two... Brock Bauers, Harold fan and Kyle Pitts, Juwan Johnson... The bottom half is Dallas Goddard, Dalton Schultz, Jake Ferguson, Briton Strange, Colston Lovelin, and Hunter Henry.
Tyler Shuck QB twelve, You've actually got him at eleven
FITZI, you've got him at ten. You just you have him quite a bit lower, but you still do have him as a starter.
And by the way, this one set up the Giants with the number one pick.
Who you got in this one? ... Probably the Giants.
They're going to have a top three pick, maybe number one.
I think the Bears can win that game outright.
we got the Rams at Atlanta. Atlanta's eight point dogs. That line's exactly right. I'm sure to win by about a touchdown
I think Buffalo is a lot better than Philly. They're at home... I'll take Buffalo
you got Tampa Bay at Miami... They should win... assuming Tampa's gonna beat Miami
My numb of five is Ben Johnson with the Bess... Number four for me is Liam Cohen with the Jags... I have Mike McDonald third... So I have Mike vrabel to, I have Kyle shana on one.
I put Rabel fifth... Ben Johnson's my fourth... I have him third [Liam Cohen]... I am going with Mike McDonald... But right now, as it's stacked, I have it McDonald won Shanahan too.