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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,670
Graded
3,881
Pundits
349
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,670

takes graded

4,789 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

1051–1075 of 3,881

  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightTop Player Lists

    But the story for Dallas is Dak's been the second best quarterback in the NFL this year. It's been Stafford one, Dak two.

    a naive guess scored 50+66.5 skillsaid Nov 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Joel KlattMock Draft Picks

    Uh through that is a top three FI right there. Easy

    Arvell Reese

    a naive guess scored 50said Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joel KlattMock Draft Picks

    Caden McDonald is going to be a first round pick as well.

    Cade McDonald

    a naive guess scored 50said Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Joel KlattMock Draft Picks

    You've got rvel Reese off the ball, on the ball, linebacker Sonny Styles, who's going to be a first round pick.

    Sonny Styles

    a naive guess scored 50said Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joel KlattMock Draft Picks

    you got downs at safety? Who's the first rounder? All day long?

    Caleb Downs

    a naive guess scored 50said Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Joel KlattMock Draft Picks

    And Carnell is one of those guys. I think he's a first round draft pick

    Carnell Tate

    a naive guess scored 50said Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 54FantasyProsFantasy Rankings

    starting with Patrick Mahomes as your number one quarterback for the week... Josh Allen comes in at two, Lamar Jackson at three, Jalen Hurts, Drake May, and Matthew Stafford at six. Your seven through twelve is Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Dak Prescott, Jacoby Brissett, bo Nix, and Jared Goff.

    a naive guess scored 50+5.58 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 58Pat FitzmauricePositional Finishes

    So I'm feeling pretty good about Jacoby Brissett, mostly because of the passing volume. I've got him one spot behind bow Nicks... You guys have him both. It looks like at eleven.

    Jacoby BrissettArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 0+77.58 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat FitzmauricePositional Finishes

    Yep, tight end six? I mean everyone just rocks the Bengals.

    Mark AndrewsBaltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 58Andrew EricksonPositional Finishes

    You guys have him both. It looks like at eleven... I also have bo Nicks ranked ahead of Jacoby Brissett.

    Jacoby BrissettArizona Cardinals

    a naive guess scored 0+77.58 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 33Pat FitzmauricePositional Finishes

    He comes in at sixteen. You guys both have him at seventeen fits... So I think this is kind of a week to cool your heels on Colston Lovelin.

    Colston LovelandChicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 75-55.42 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 52FantasyProsFantasy Rankings

    we've got the top twelve board starts us with Trey McBride at number one, George Kittle... brock Bowers at three, Travis Kelsey at four, Tyler Warren, Mark Andrews... Ronnie Gatson comes in at seven, Jake Ferguson, Hunter, Henry Dallas Goddard, Kyle Pitts, and Juwan Johnson.

    a naive guess scored 50+2.79 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 83Andrew EricksonPositional Finishes

    You actually have him at twelve, So vibes are very high for you on Sam Donald.

    Sam DarnoldSeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 58.33+33.25 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonGame Outcome Picks

    Well, I do think that the Seahawks will probably kill the Minnesota Vikings, and in that case, they put up thirty thirty five points.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 58Pat FitzmauricePositional Finishes

    Right now, I've got Purty at quarterback seventeen... So brock Perty is going to be my quarterback eighteen.

    Brock Purdy

    a naive guess scored 16.67+55.42 skillsaid Nov 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    Denver laying six and a half at Washington. I like Denver here that defense against Marcus Mariota, particularly Denver off a bye

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+133 skillsaid Nov 27, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I will jump on Kansas City minus three at Dallas... Will take Casey minus the three

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100-133 skillsaid Nov 27, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    Tampa minus three against Arizona... Bucky Irving finally returns, Tampa pounds the run Tampa minus three.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 27, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I'll take Seattle at home, laying the ten and a half

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 27, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks

    ten and a half points at home against Minnesota... I just think that Seattle's a lot better.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 27, 2025the article →
  • Close · 55Kevin RileyTop Player Lists

    Your top five running backs in the NFL... I'm gonna have to say jamiir Gibbs... I'm gonna have to say John Robinson because his footwork... I'm gonna say Cam cams Boat... I watched a lot of Jonathan Taylor... And for another one, I'll probably say David Connhall number five, the running back that's with Jamier Gill... David Monty

    a naive guess scored 50+6.95 skillsaid Nov 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I will lay the thirteen and a half with Seattle. Seattle is at Tennessee... I will take Seattle laying the thirteen and a half

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+139 skillsaid Nov 22, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I am rolling with Chicago laying two and a half at home against Pittsburgh... It feels like a Bear's ugly three point win.

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 22, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I am rolling with Chicago laying two and a half at home against Pittsburgh... It feels like a Bears ugly repoint when... I'll take Chicago minus to two and a half

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Nov 22, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I will lay the thirteen and a half points with Seattle. Seattle is at Tennessee... I will take Seattle laying the thirteen and a half.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+139 skillsaid Nov 22, 2025the article →