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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,912
Graded
3,881
Pundits
362
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,912

takes graded

5,031 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

1326–1350 of 3,881

  • Close · 40Kyle BrandtPower Rankings

    I have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of five... I have the Rams at four... number three... I have the Lions... number two... I have the Chiefs... I'm going with the Coats as the number one team right now

    a naive guess scored 40+0 skillsaid Oct 15, 2025the article →
  • Close · 67Kyle BrandtPositional Finishes

    I think they may already have the best tight end in the league in a rookie who's played just a handful of games in Tyler Warren.

    Tyler WarrenIndianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 41.67+41.75 skillsaid Oct 15, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Richard ShermanPower Rankings

    one would have to be buff. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers understanding for me... So I'm puting y'all at three, But I'm gonna put the Indianapolis Colt said, too low key... I think Seattle, with what they've been doing

    a naive guess scored 30-50.1 skillsaid Oct 14, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 25Shannon SharpePositional Finishes

    they said, the first five weeks of this season, Baker Mayfield played better than everybody.

    Baker Mayfield

    a naive guess scored 41.67-28.67 skillsaid Oct 11, 2025the article →
  • Close · 73Sports IllustratedTop Player Lists

    Josh Allen is number one. Patrick Mahomes is number two... Bow Knicks is twenty, Jake Browning is thirty.

    a naive guess scored 50+38.78 skillsaid Oct 11, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    Dallas minus three at Carolina... I think the Cowboys offense can cook, and Dak has always cooked bad teams... Dallas minus three.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 100-172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    At the end of the show with LeBatard, I said in passing, I think Kansas City is going to beat Detroit... And I think the Chiefs just find a way. Chiefs minus two

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I'm putting in Rams minus seven and a half at Baltimore here... The Rams need it. They are the team on extra rest. I trust Stafford. The Ravens are a mess.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    I believe in the Bucks. I am impressed by the Niners, but I believe in the Bucks. They're at home, they are laying just three points. We're gonna go with Baker

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    And then Seattle plus not Ian s Jackson's. So I think Seattle might just win that game anyways.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 0+172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks

    I'm good with the Patriots to win by more than three and a half points in New Orleans like that.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks

    And so that's why I think the Bills will likely win this game. But when I see a home dog four and a half points...

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks

    I feel really strong about Indianapolis to win... they're at home yet again. This time they host Arizona... this is a huge mismatch in favor of the Ponies.

    Indianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks

    if you believe the Rams will beat the Ravens, which I think we both do

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks

    I feel better about the Rams just winning this game. They have extra rest... All they have to do all day is just hand the ball off against a Ravens defense who is twenty eighth in the league against the run.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks

    I'm not touching this game... Rams will win, but I'm not touching with him.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    Seattle wins outright in a bad mood. Cross Country thirty twenty seven. Hawks rebound from that loss last week.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 35.78+89.98 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 36Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    My favorite bet of the week is the Commander's minus four and a half... The Commanders win thirty three twenty six.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 47.55-20.36 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 98Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    Chargers probably win this game twenty four to twenty three. I'm absolutely taking the points with the Dolphins.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 49.93+82.02 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 98Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    I like the Raiders minus three and a half... Twenty six seventeen

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 81.02+28.55 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    Patriots win, but take the under. Let's say at twenty one to twenty ugly choppie game.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 40.54+81.79 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 25Shannon SharpePositional Finishes

    I'm not so sure that Baker Mayfield shouldn't be one... There are not six quarterbacks playing better than Baker Mayfield... they said, the first five weeks of this season, Baker Mayfield played better. Than everybody, and he has.

    Baker Mayfield

    a naive guess scored 41.67-28.67 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Close · 73Sports IllustratedTop Player Lists

    Josh Allen is number one, Patrick Mahomes is number two... Daniel Jones is eleven, Jaydon Daniels is twelfth, Sam Donald's thirteenth, Jalen Hurts is fourteenth, c J. Stroud is fifteenth, Bow Knicks is twenty, Jake Browning is thirty.

    a naive guess scored 50+38.78 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Shannon SharpeGame Outcome Picks

    have fun While you're over there Washington, Broncos beat up on them Jets.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 0+172 skillsaid Oct 10, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chad Ochocinco JohnsonGame Outcome Picks

    I really feel good about the Bengals playing the Packers... So don't be surprised if the Bengals happen to win against the Packers, who are probably heavily favored.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 100-172 skillsaid Oct 9, 2025the article →