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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,912
Graded
3,881
Pundits
362
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,912

takes graded

5,031 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

2026–2050 of 3,881

  • Hit · 92Gregg RosenthalDepth Chart Calls

    if we get to week eleven twelve... it just wouldn't surprise me if he's more true workload Bijon Robinson type of guy as we get later in the season

    Omarion HamptonLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Close · 55Mike FlorioFantasy Rankings

    Florio's picks: CeeDee Lamb 4th, Malik Nabers 9th, A.J. Brown 14th, De'Von Achane 19th, Trey McBride 24th, TreVeyon Henderson 29th.

    a naive guess scored 50+10 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalPositional Finishes

    I just feel more confident that a Nico Collins at this point is a better football player than a Brian Thomas junior... To me, he is a top five dude, like as just at the position

    Nico CollinsHouston Texans

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0LaQuan JonesPositional Finishes

    he is in a safe spot right now where I think he's going to be cracking that top three of the Fantasy wide receivers

    Malik NabersNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike FlorioDepth Chart Calls

    At some point Jackson Dart's taken over there.

    Jaxson DartNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 15Marcas GrantFantasy Rankings

    Marcus's picks: Justin Jefferson 5th, Christian McCaffrey 10th, Amon-Ra St. Brown 15th, Lamar Jackson 20th, Jonathan Taylor 25th, Jameson Williams 30th.

    a naive guess scored 50-70 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalPositional Finishes

    I'm taking ceiling guys and he's maybe the last of these guys that would it be that crazy if he was wide receiver three at the end of the year.

    Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 85Patrick ClaybonFantasy Rankings

    Patrick's picks: Ja'Marr Chase 3rd, Derrick Henry 8th, Ashton Jeanty 13th, Brock Bowers 18th, Tyreek Hill 23rd, Terry McLaurin 28th.

    a naive guess scored 50+70 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 93Gregg RosenthalFantasy Rankings

    Greg's picks in the mock draft: Jahmyr Gibbs 2nd, Saquon 7th, Nico Collins 12th, Chase Brown 17th, Ladd McConkey 22nd, Omarion Hampton 27th.

    a naive guess scored 50+86.67 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88LaQuan JonesFantasy Rankings

    LaQuan's picks: Bijan Robinson 1.01, Puka Nacua 6th, Brian Thomas Jr 11th, Drake London 16th, Josh Jacobs 21st, Kenneth Walker 26th.

    a naive guess scored 50+75 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Patrick ClaybonDepth Chart Calls

    I love getting Terry in the spot and he's gonna be He's gonna be the wide receiver one, he's gonna score touchdowns.

    Terry McLaurinWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0LaQuan JonesPositional Finishes

    those yards, those touchdowns are all going to increase this year where I think that Drake London can definitely crack that top five.

    Drake LondonAtlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 8.33-16.67 skillsaid Aug 21, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffPlayoff Picks

    The Ravens, the Bills, and the Chiefs will be in a playoff game whether they are win the division.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 20, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    I think there's a fifty to fifty chance there the number one see, I expect them to win fourteen plus games.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Aug 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffPlayoff Picks

    The Ravens, the Bills, and the Chiefs will be in a playoff game whether they are win the division.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0John MiddlekauffPlayoff Picks

    The Ravens, the Bills, and the Chiefs will be in a playoff game whether they are win the division.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 20, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdDepth Chart Calls

    Shadur is going to start. Mark my word

    Shedeur SandersCleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdPower Rankings

    I'll move the Niners from fourth to third... I think Seattle is gonna win the division... Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdDepth Chart Calls

    Do not worry about Jordan Love's non throwing hand. He will start Week one

    Jordan LoveGreen Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Close · 70Colin CowherdPower Rankings

    The East remains the same. Eagles, Commanders, Giants, Cowboys.

    a naive guess scored 90-40 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdPlayoff Picks

    Patriots Bengals, Chiefs are playoff teams.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdPlayoff Picks

    the easiest pick in the NFL this year for a team that didn't make the playoffs last year and will this year is Cincinnati

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdPlayoff Picks

    Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 90Colin CowherdPower Rankings

    AFC East Bills are going to win it. Patriots are my most improved team... Dolphins coming out now... The Jets, I just structurally I have no idea their fourth

    a naive guess scored 40+100 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdPlayoff Picks

    Commanders, Lions and Rams are the playoff teams

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →