Schrager stopped short of calling it inevitable but said Cam Ward will very likely be the first overall pick, and noted he already viewed Ward as the first quarterback off the board (ranking him seventh overall among prospects).

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksMar 25, 2025

  “I wouldn't say it's inevitable, but I would say it's very likely that cam Ward will be the first overall pick.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2025

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Cam Ward

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  1

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsMar 25, 2025

  “knowing he was going to be the first quarterback taken, I said, but he's not the best player in this draft”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2025

  naive:

  naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2

  skill:

  75.8

  player:

  Cam Ward

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  24.2

  position:

  quarterback

  class size:

  14

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  1

  predicted order:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?