Shannon Sharpe· May 27, 2025
Sharpe said the rookie running back's stated goal of 1,500 rushing yards is realistic and very doable, but doubted 20 touchdowns, putting him closer to 10-12 rushing scores.
“I think fifteen hundred yards is realistic.”
said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
All 2 have settled, averaging 15 out of 100, against 42.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
rushing tds10They said
5What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Player Season NumbersAshton JeantyMay 27, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to record 10 rushing tds
“I say ten twelve touchdowns, but twenty, man, bro, that's a lot of tubs”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85.37-170.73 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 4.63
- skill:
- -170.73
- what happened:
- 5
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 85.37
- predicted:
- 10
- statistic:
- rushing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 4.63
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Player Season NumbersAshton JeantyMay 27, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to record 1,500 rushing yards
“So I do think fifteen hundred yards might be possible, but be very doable... I think fifteen hundred yards is realistic.”
Miss · 30Scored 30a naive guess scored 0+60 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 378.78
- skill:
- 60
- what happened:
- 975
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 30
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 1500
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 378.78
- zero at percent out:
- 50
What others said about the same people
- Tom PelisseroMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick).
- Colin CowherdMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
- Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Schrager laid out his top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie.
- Derek BrownSleeper Calls · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Derek Brown laid out a round-by-round target list, projecting Ashton Jeanty as a top-three back and Raiders bellcow, Drake London as a possible overall WR1, and Tetairoa McMillan (his must-have player) as a ten-plus touchdown scorer, with late-round upside picks like Dak Prescott and JJ McCarthy at quarterback.
- Simon HunterSleeper Calls · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking him in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round.
- Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Erickson laid out his personal 2025 redraft top-75-style ranks, going higher than consensus on Ashton Jeanty (whom he sees finishing as a top-three RB), Drake London (top-three WR upside with 15 TDs), CeeDee Lamb, Chase Brown, Garrett Wilson and Xavier Worthy, while fading Saquon Barkley, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore and Jordan Addison.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayer Season Numbers · Tyler ShoughMiss · 4Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 100Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.
- Nick WrightPlayer Season Numbers · Myles GarrettHit · 84Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.
- Rich EisenPlayer Season Numbers · Micah ParsonsClose · 56Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.
- Daniel JeremiahPlayer Season Numbers · Jihaad CampbellMiss · 0Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.