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97.54% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Move the Sticks (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 3 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 78.5 accuracy (3 settled)
501–525 of 1,103
890 / 1,103
graded
213 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when its writers strayed: 72.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 91.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (2 settled)
Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year
I put Mike Parsons in. He was my defensive player of the Year pick
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
I have three a AFC West teams in the playoffs ... the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
I have three a AFC West teams in the playoffs because they're looking as far as the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs, they are looking like all three will be in the playoff picture.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
I have three a AFC West teams in the playoffs ... the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs
Carolina Panthers to win the division
So i'd have to give the to the pants come on over.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
I do like the Niners that I brought him into that playoff category at the wild card spot.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
But that the pick that I will double down on the Ravens when winning the AFC North.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I am most proud of my Broncos pick as the AFC West champions.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
I like my wild cards. I like pretty much everything except the Ravens record is not good.
Cam Ward to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
my pick for offensive Rookie of the Year. I was sitting here saying, cam Ward
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
the pick that I will double down on the Ravens winning winning the AFC North... So I'm doubling down that the Ravens will win the AFC North.
Denver Broncos to win the division
I am most proud of my Broncos pick as the AFC West champions.
New England Patriots to take the top seed
if the Patriots are playing a home playoff game to start the playoff run under Mike Vrabel. I don't think anybody's going to be shocked
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
as far as the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs, they are looking like all three will be in the playoff picture
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
as far as the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs, they are looking like all three will be in the playoff picture
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
as far as the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs, they are looking like all three will be in the playoff picture
Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City
history tells us that Buffalo coming off scoring forty points and Josh Allam's grandmother time to smile, will probably win this game as well as Kansas City's playing
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
I am most proud of putting that Patriot's logo in the wild card.
Denver Broncos to win the division
maintain that the Broncos are going to win the AFC West... I still have the Broncos winning that division
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
It's the Steelers... Is it nine to eight and they squeak in or is it ten and seven and they have a nice comfortable wild card. It is still going to happen. I won't deviate.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
the Seattle Seahawks. I had winning the NFC West, not as a wild card, not behind the Rams, not behind San Francisco... I still think all of my picks are going to be right
New York Jets to pick at number 1
And they're going to get the first pick of the draft and there's not even a marque quarterback today.
Number five, I got the Chiefs... number four. I like the Seahawks... Now number three, I still got the Lions... Now number two, I got Tampa... So I got the Indianapolis culture.
One I had Indy... I put the charters at two... that's why I had them at two to one spot ahead of Pittsburgh... I put k C at four... And then the fifth spot, I came down to Denver and Buffalo, and I ended up going Denver.
I would have Indy Pittsburgh or have the Chargers. Don't have the Chiefs in the top five, I would have the Broncos after that, and then I'm kind of stuck with... the Patriots and in the Bills. And here's the thing why I would lean towards the Patriots coaching in quarterback.