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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,562
Graded
3,881
Pundits
344
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,562

takes graded

4,681 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

3126–3150 of 3,881

  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks

    there's. A chance there's a chance he could go in the top ten in, THIS draft

    Armand Membou

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 83Gregg RosenthalDepth Chart Calls

    Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one

    Luke McCaffreyWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skillsaid Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Close · 71Nick ShookPosition Order Calls

    he's the first safety out, the board

    Nick Emmanwori

    a naive guess scored 19.61+51.1 skillsaid Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Gregg RosenthalDepth Chart Calls

    Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one

    Deebo Samuel Sr.Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks

    That that sort of talent to me seems like a very intriguing second round type of. Player

    Jayden Higgins

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Close · 71Nick ShookPosition Order Calls

    I think he's going to be the first one off the board at the position and he makes the team

    Maxwell Hairston

    a naive guess scored 17.91+52.8 skillsaid Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks

    There's a decent chance cam Wards still goes number one, whether it's to the Titans or a team trading up, and that he is not going to fall, you know, past the first couple of picks

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks

    one that has a chance to get taken maybe in the first round and certainly in the first, you know forty to. Fifty, picks

    Maxwell Hairston

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Gregg RosenthalDepth Chart Calls

    Luke McCaffrey is number three, Deebo's number two, Terry mclaurin's number one

    Terry McLaurinWashington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillsaid Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 88Nick ShookMock Draft Picks

    yeah he's the first, round pick he's the first safety out, the board

    Nick Emmanwori

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookMock Draft Picks

    he may have snuck into the first round

    Malaki Starks

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 35Bucky BrooksPosition Order Calls

    and now you're seeing buzz Is Matthew golden gonna be the new wide, receiver one of the. Class

    Matthew Golden

    a naive guess scored 16.05+19.31 skillsaid Mar 2, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 30Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    that does still feel like a second round type of selection in similarity to how the Eagles went about getting Jalen Hurts... I think it should be the mill Roe situation.

    Jalen Milroe

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Rhett LewisPosition Order Calls

    our focus was on that QB three kind of competition, pseudo competition to be that third quarterback off the board... And to me, that was Louisville's Tyler Shuck

    Tyler Shough

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 30Rhett LewisMock Draft Picks

    but that does still feel like a second round type of selection in similarity to how the Eagles went about getting Jalen Hurts. I think that could still be the Milroe situation.

    Jalen Milroe

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 2, 2025the article →
  • Close · 58Lance ZierleinDepth Chart Calls

    BUT i Think Love it has a chance to be a really, fun under the radar starting. SLOT

    Dominic Lovett

    a naive guess scored 66.67-16.67 skillsaid Mar 2, 2025the article →
  • Close · 42Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks

    He is a guy who is going to move up. He'll be a second round cornerback in this draft.

    Jacob Parrish

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Lance ZierleinPosition Order Calls

    I know that I think Mason Taylor will probably be the third guy off... I think Mason Taylor's a third

    Mason Taylor

    a naive guess scored 28.72+71.28 skillsaid Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Close · 65Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks

    it wouldn't shock me if maybe a sneaky third tight end got into the first round. Yeah, with Mason Taylor

    Mason Taylor

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffDepth Chart Calls

    So I think Darnold would be the one guy that would just get signed and immediately become, you know, kind of not your long term starter, but at least in the immediate next couple of year starter.

    Sam Darnold

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffMock Draft Picks

    I would throw Jackson Darton here, who I think is gonna gain some momentum as a potential first round pick

    Jaxson Dart

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Close · 67Peter SchragerTop Player Lists

    let's get started with the top ten combined prospects going into the combine. It's my list... It's number ten Michigan defensive back Will Johnson... Number nine is tight end Colston Loveland... my number eight prospect is Arizona wide receiver Tatoroa McMillan... cam Ward is my seventh overall prospect... that is Jalen Walker... Mason Graham is the number five prospect... number four... Ashton gent... Number three... Mister Tyler Warren... Number two, I've got... Abdul Carter... I've got Travis Hunter as my number one prospect

    a naive guess scored 50+33.33 skillsaid Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks

    Daniel Jeremiah's latest mock draft was twenty twenty five two point zero and he actually has the top pick, being a pass rusher Abdual Carter out of the Big Ten Penn State Tennessee Titans first pick. Overall, they don't trade out and they take a pass rusher.

    Abdul CarterTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    Ashton gent is one of the top running backs in this draft and will obviously be a first round pick

    Ashton Jeanty

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Close · 68Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    I think he might go as high as top five. He will not escape the top ten.

    Tyler Warren

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →