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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,562
Graded
3,881
Pundits
344
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,562

takes graded

4,681 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

3151–3175 of 3,881

  • Hit · 100Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    He is a top five pick and I wouldn't be shocked if he goes even higher than that.

    Mason Graham

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Close · 71Peter SchragerPosition Order Calls

    He is my number one wide receiver in this draft.

    Tetairoa McMillan

    a naive guess scored 13.29+57.42 skillsaid Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Close · 52Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    Look for him to go in the first round, of course, in April's draft.

    Will Johnson

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Cody KesslerPosition Order Calls

    I do think cam Ward is the first quarterback in this draft.

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skillsaid Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    cam Ward great prospect. We'll be an NFL starter next year and will be a top five, top ten pick, no doubt.

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Cody KesslerMock Draft Picks

    the reason that I think the Titans go quarterback... the guy I'm taking to be more upfront is cam Or, I would go out and take cam Ord... I'm gonna go out and I think they take Campboy.

    Cam WardTennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 50said Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Peter SchragerDepth Chart Calls

    We'll be an NFL starter next year

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillsaid Mar 1, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 1Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks

    and he did like he made himself money, he helped himself. I thought he was like a third fourth. I think he's in the top one hundred now. Is a linebacker.

    Danny Stutsman

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Rhett LewisPosition Order Calls

    the guy who ended up winning the Buckets Award this year, Jalen Walker, might project better for many teams as an ed rusher. It might be one of the top three edge rushers in this draft.

    Jalon Walker

    a naive guess scored 15.76+84.24 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Lance ZierleinPosition Order Calls

    Demetrius Knight from South Carolina stood out to me... Might even be you know, could be linebacker one as an inside linebacker.

    Demetrius Knight Jr.

    a naive guess scored 21.98+28.02 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 77Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks

    All I know is late my latest mind Draft thirty two, James Fears was going to the Philadelphia

    James Pearce Jr.Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Dan PatrickPosition Order Calls

    More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 25Dan PatrickPosition Order Calls

    More than likely cam Ward will go first and then Shadoor Sanders after that.

    Shedeur Sanders

    a naive guess scored 37.51-12.51 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 71Cody KesslerPosition Order Calls

    After that, I have Jackson Dart kind of sitting in that third spot, but really four through seven is wide open, and even three I'm not solidifying Dart at three.

    Jaxson Dart

    a naive guess scored 29.17+41.54 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 25Cody KesslerPosition Order Calls

    everyone's talking about cam Ward and Shador standers one and two rightfully

    Shedeur Sanders

    a naive guess scored 37.51-12.51 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Cody KesslerPosition Order Calls

    everyone's talking about cam Ward and Shador standers one and two rightfully

    Cam Ward

    a naive guess scored 24.2+75.8 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Manti Te'oMock Draft Picks

    Jehat Campbell from Alabama. If he doesn't go in the first round, guys, I don't know what, Like, what are we doing?

    Jihaad Campbell

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Peter SchragerPosition Order Calls

    I don't think there's that guy there this year. This might be the top wide receiver taken in the draft. Mika Booga

    Emeka Egbuka

    a naive guess scored 14.91+35.09 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 59Peter SchragerMock Draft Picks

    a player that was moving yesterday the top at the three cone drill might have solidified himself as a first draup pick

    Donovan Ezeiruaku

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nate TiceMock Draft Picks

    That being top ten might be a little rich, I might say more as top fifteen

    Tyler Warren

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nate TicePosition Order Calls

    But for it it's the context of he's my old lineman one.

    Will Campbell

    a naive guess scored 8.33+91.67 skillsaid Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nate TiceMock Draft Picks

    He's a slot only guy, but he'll probably be a number three, but I like him as like a third rounder.

    Xavier RestrepoMiami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Close · 74Nate TiceMock Draft Picks

    especially I've seen him more as a late first rounder, maybe sneak in early second type

    Luther Burden III

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks

    I know teams don't want to draft three down linebackers too early, so he's he's a first round pick. We'll see how high he goes.

    Jihaad Campbell

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick ShookMock Draft Picks

    I could see him sneaking into the back end of the first round... But if anything, he's a day too. Guy

    Tyleik Williams

    a naive guess scored 50said Feb 28, 2025the article →