NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,670
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 349
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,670
takes graded
4,789 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR53 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles315 takes
- Los Angeles Rams301 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens283 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders262 takes
- Seattle Seahawks246 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- Carolina Panthers156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
976–1000 of 3,881
I put Rabel fifth... Ben Johnson's my fourth... I have him third [Liam Cohen]... I am going with Mike McDonald... But right now, as it's stacked, I have it McDonald won Shanahan too.
but my vote is for Mike McDonald
But I think the betting favorite right now would be Josh Johnson starting this game for the Commanders
Another three team eight point teaser at plus one hundred and I am going to be teasing Tennessee up to eleven and a half. I'm teasing in Buffalo to minus two
So and we know, listen, shador in Cleveland will go... Stay away from Buffalo. But the lean was Buffalo minus ten
But so I like Detroit. But laying a full touchdown against a Mike Tomlin team in December has not been historically a great bet, so I'll just stay away from it, But man, I will I like Detroit.
I just think Dallas is a good spot here. I'll lay just two points at home against the Chargers
I think the Titans are gonna win this game, out right, guys... So I just think the Titans win, and I'll take the Titans and cam Ward getting three and a half at home against the Chiefs.
I do love the Bears and Niners.
I'm going to take Burrow in Cincinnati to win thirty to twenty in cover
I would give Josh Allen the MVP over Stafford
I think the Patriots went outright twenty eight twenty seven.
Ben's been tremendous. I think he's probably maybe my my pick for coach of the year.
I like the Niners to win and cover thirty four to twenty four
I'll take the points. Giants win twenty eight twenty seven.
I think the Cowboys will find a way to lose this game, and I think the Chargers will figure out a way to win it... you might get to sit back and enjoy like a twelve point win for this game
My model has a straight up win for the Chargers.
So it's four and a half points at home. The Saints are favored over the Jets, and I think what I've seen from Tyler Shuck in this situation...
I have them only winning by six... Fifty seven percent
Cynthia's picks to recap. She's got the Texans minus two touchdowns fourteen... they have an eighty one percent chance
I picked the Lions to win on our show game debut, so I got to go by by that... I think this would be a good win for the Lions.
I have the Bills minus ten and a half in Cleveland... This would be like an Eagles Raiders situation where they're winning this game by twenty five thirty points.
Broncos will cover. Stick's picks.
Niners will cover oo oo. Sticks picks.
I'm money Line in New England. Sticks picks