NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1151–1175 of 3,881
I think the Bears could end up like supplanting San Francisco as a wild card team.
I love this pick. I'm with you. I think the Steelers went straight up. Me and you are on the same side... But I have them winning straight up.
I actually think that the Steelers win this one outright. I think the upset happens.
I think that I have the Patriots winning by one point, so stay away in terms of playing that one for me.
that's why I think that the Chicago Bears win by more than three and a half points because of that outside rushing
I'm taking the Bucks minus two and a half... I just think I think they're better.
And when I heard all that and he's like growling in the locker room and he's an alter ego, I'm like Raven's by twenty five.
They're the away team. It's happening in Minnesota. But I think Baltimore goes in and wins by more than four points.
I'm gonna take the bucks to cover on this one... I'm gonna go with Tampa to cover
Oh you know what I'm going with Philly money line.
I gotta jump on the back of that horse with my boy Q money line.
I think Todd Bowles is gonna have those guys ready, and I think Tampa Bay minus the two and a half is the right side here.
Let's go Pittsburgh on the money line.
Oh you want Pittsburgh money line? Baby, let's go. Let's go when Chargers are banged up?
They gone dead last Tennessee Titans... The New Orleans Saints second to last, thirty one... number thirty the Jets twenty nine Raiders... Washington Commanders... twenty eight. We got the Dolphins at twenty seven, Shooks Browns... twenty six, and then the Giants at twenty five... number twenty four the Cincinnati Bengals... The Cowboys at twenty three, Falcons at twenty two, the Carolina Panthers... twenty one, Texans at twenty, Cardinals at nineteen. Eighteen for the Chicago Bears and seventeen of the Jacksonville Jaguars... Number sixteen, the Vikings... the Chargers are at fifteen... The forty nine Ers fourteen, Ravens all the way up to thirteen... The Steelers at twelve, Broncos at eleven, and Patriots at ten... Number nine the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Number eight is Green Bay... Number seven, the Detroit Lions, number six, We have the Colts five, the Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs... ahead of the Bills... number three, the LA Rams, number two Philadelphia Eagles, and number one the Seattle Seahawks
You had them nineteen, I had him seventeen... You had the Ravens at eleven. I had him at fifteen... I had the Patriots at eleven, you had them at ten... I had the Colts still at four... I hadem one, you had them two... Raiders fans out there, I had you thirtieth going into this game
You had the Chiefs won, and that was the rising the Seahawks, two, Eagle three... Bills are lower for me than five. Actually had them at six... I had the Ravens all the way up at eleven... I had the Patriots at eleven, you had them at ten... You had them nineteen, I had him seventeen
this is one of my favorite plays of the weekend. Is the Ravens a minus four and a half... I go into a game with the superior quarterback, who now is finally healthy, I get probably the better roster.
But it sounds like maybe your leaning Bucks here. Yep, I think under a field goal
I think Mendoz that Indiana is gonna win it up to them... Mendoz is the play... I think Mendoza is a bigger, stronger athlete smart.
I put the Packers in a lot because of Michael Parsons, influenced by recency bias.
The way I see it, Cowboys slide in the playoffs.
I like my wild cards. I like pretty much everything except the Ravens record is not good.
I have three a AFC West teams in the playoffs ... the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs
I have three a AFC West teams in the playoffs ... the Chargers, the Broncos and the Chiefs