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NFL

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged
8,912
Graded
3,881
Pundits
362
Average accuracy
52.5

out of 100

Seasons in review

202520242023

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

3,881 / 8,912

takes graded

5,031 awaiting a result

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

20406080
10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130)the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

Most-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs pundits predict most.

Least-discussed teams

All teams →

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft1,575 graded

The season race708 graded

Single games547 graded

Players and rosters697 graded

Awards and honors321 graded

Rankings and lists223 graded

Fantasy football68 graded

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Every NFL take

1451–1475 of 3,881

  • Miss · 0What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    It looks like you like Dallas there Demons' yeah. I would love minus one... Caylee dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 20, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100What's Wright with Nick WrightPlayoff Picks

    I hope you're right. I picked New England make the playoffs.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+189 skillsaid Sep 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0What's Wright with Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks

    So Demonsay's on the record he likes New England to win out right there... I think the team with Aaron Rodgers' comments... in New England, like they're showing some continuity.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 20, 2025the article →
  • Close · 48Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    Ravens win thirty twenty three. I'll take him to cover the spread.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 35.78+22.37 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 12Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    Cowboys win at twenty eight twenty seven, But I like the over on this game.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 64.35-99.13 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks

    I think they'll beat the Giants this weekend.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+189 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Close · 50Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    I like Seattle here at home twenty eight to twenty.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 50+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Close · 43Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 88.16-85.63 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Close · 43Colin CowherdScore Predictions

    I like the Patriots straight out to win this game. Twenty seven twenty three.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 38.16+8.87 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks

    The Patriots ooh, I do agree with you on this, but I'm like a little freaked out... I'm with you. I think I think it's close

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks

    I think that the Bucks win. I don't think that they win in a very super convincing fashion

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks

    I did hit the Cowboys game. We agree on that... that's ultimately why I picked the Cowboys.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks

    So I'm gonna go ahead and take them because I have the Cowboys winning that outright

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 100-189 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalPlayoff Picks

    the Jacksonville run game looks really good. I think they I think they're a proof team. I think they could be the seven seed, for instance in the AFC.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+189 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks

    I'm going against the Lions as my third pick. I'm taking the Ravens minus four and a half... I am going Ravens.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalSuper Bowl Picks

    the Super Bowl this year is going to feature your Detroit Lions and my Baltimore Ravens because that was my super Bowl pick before the year, with the Ravens winning

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Close · 45Gregg RosenthalScore Predictions

    I love points. I think it's like forty one to thirty one.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 35.78+17.87 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks

    I'm going to keep it with the spicy ones that are the wrong favorite... The Patriots... I just think their defense is more than what the... old line for the Steelers can handle.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 92Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls

    Tyrone Tracy is returning kickoffs for the Giants, which strikes me as kind of a tell that the Giants see him as the number two.

    Tyrone Tracy Jr.New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 100-15.75 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Andrew EricksonDepth Chart Calls

    If I had to make a bet on who's gonna probably be more snaps this week, it would probably be ken Walker

    Kenneth Walker IIISeattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 83Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls

    do you think Cam Skataboo aka Scam is the back over Tyrone Tracy starting in Week three? I do, and I think the hostile takeover of the Giants backfield began last week.

    Cam SkatteboNew York Giants

    a naive guess scored 91.67-15.75 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Close · 53Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Rankings

    Fitz you've got him at seven... You guys both hand in hand are saying twenty two... fits has got him at seventeen... I've got o'mary and Hampton ranked ORB twenty three... Fitzi, you are twenty seven... I've still got him ranked running back thirty this week... Remandre one spot higher... FITZI, you've got him at thirty three... fits you've got him at thirty five

    a naive guess scored 50+6.3 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 83Colin CowherdFantasy Rankings

    kicking off the top twelve running backs, starting with number one Bijon Robinson... Bashin Tootle Beshon too Ba, Shaal Toutin, and Cam Scataboo.

    a naive guess scored 50+62.29 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 82Andrew EricksonFantasy Rankings

    Ericson you've got him at eleven... You've got him at sixteen (Genty)... ericson, you've got him at sixteen (Walker)... You guys both hand in hand are saying twenty two... You've got him at twenty six... Ericson had him at thirty two... ericson you've got him at thirty three

    a naive guess scored 50+60.75 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jonas KnoxGame Outcome Picks

    now Justin Fields is out and Tyrod Taylor starting this week and against Tampa if they go in three, which they probably will

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Sep 19, 2025the article →