NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2326–2350 of 3,881
He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.
He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.
For me, he's a boom. He's my RB five. I initially had him lower in my rankings this offseason, but I have moved him up
Justin Fields is going to if he plays a full season, he's going to run for seven eight nine touchdowns
I still think Pachecko is probably the best running back the Chiefs have
I think that he is more of a back end RB one for me than mid first round, where like a lot of people want to take him
at RB thirteen, I have him more as a back end RB two
I have Christian McCaffrey at RB four. I've had him at RB four. I'm going to keep him at RB four.
Jalen Hurts should be up at five. I think at Baker Mayfield should be at ten.
So Hurts and Daniels on the list. Take away Dak and Gino and put in Hurts and Daniels
So Hurts and Daniels on the list. Take away Dak and Gino and put in Hurts and Daniels, right
Absolutely? Herbert's the top ten guy.
forty nineers are gonna win thirteen games this year. They have the weakest ass schedule you've ever seen, and they're gonna go and they're gonna go twelve and five minimum because they play bottom feeders.
And I'm gonna give you one more, I say, see Lada, Matthew Stafford, Hello, Brock Purty.
The guy I'm going to go to bad for his Baker Mayfield. He's top ten in my mind
So in at number one, you really can't debate it. Patrick Mahomes... Number two, Lamar Jackson... he's right there at number three... Borrow number four... Well Herbert is at number five?... Number six Matt Stafford... Number seven Dak Prescott... Gino Smith. Number eight... Love number nine Ireen Bay Packers... CJ. Stroud, great young quarterback in at number ten.
I think if he makes sixteen starts or seventeen, he is going to go for seven hundred rushing yards. And I feel pretty confident about that.
So the projections have Drake May QB twenty in fantasy scoring. That's the scary part. I have May at QB nine
But I do think Chase Brown is still pretty safely going to be the lead back in one of the best offenses in the league.
Bucky Irving's not going to lose his job back to Rashad White... I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury
I'm actually in line with these projections, Like right now, I've got Drake May as my QB twenty I think
so I've Chased Brown at RB eleven in my rankings
Yeah, that seems light to me too. I think it's more like four or five easily
Rashad was in a pure backup rowl. I don't think there's any chance the pendulum swings back towards Rashad White barring injury
Number three on my list, I have Josh Allen... At number two... his name is Anthony Richardson... John Milton, third backup quarterback. Now for the Dallas Cowboys.