NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2351–2375 of 3,881
You'll be top ten in passing with Dak Prescott.
At the number three spot, let's go Jay Herbo justin Herbert... number two... Josh Allen self explanatory... So Joe Milton to me has the strongest arm hands in the NFL.
Caleb Williams number two. I have another name nobody else has... Baker Mayfield can huck that pig skin... And I have Josh Allen as my number one.
if I went today and you told me best quarterbacks in the AFC... I'd go Alan Mahomes, Burrow, Lamar, that's the big four... I'd go Herbert C. J. Stroud and I put Geno seven... And I would put the eighth best quarterback bo Nickx... And then number nine, I think you get Aaron Trevor Lawrence in Tua
has now ranked the top ten quarterbacks heading in the next season. He has Lamar Jackson one, Josh Allen two... He had Joe Burrow three, Patrick Mahomes four... Chris Simms had Jalen Hurts... at behind Baker Mayfield, Justin Herbert, C. J. Stroud, Matt Stafford, and Jayden Daniels.
And again I think Jalen Hurts is probably ten best in the league. But I do think he's he's a top ten franchise quarterback.
So my guess is there's a lot of dull, small old Shadour by week eight is starting.
I think this year he'll win the in a nine games
They went ten and seven last year. It's not like they won four or five games, so why couldn't they go ten and seven again?... I'd be stunned if they're not over five hundred.
I think this year he'll win the in a nine games, He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks.
I think Daniel Jones is gonna be the start of Week one. And that was before the kid heard his inj hit his shoulder.
If they're dull in the first six weeks because they don't have a very good roster. They're probably a four to six win team.
He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks. He'll be fine.
You can kind of count the Ravens and Ravens and being in every every season as long as Lamar Jackson is there, regardless of what pieces he has around him, him alone can get them to the playoffs
I think he's gonna be all right, And I honestly think there's a good chance that they might repeat. But being at the commanders have gotten better, being that Dallas has gotten better
He will probably be the second fiddle on his team because Brian Thomas Junior is really really good.
Michael Pittman's not coming off his best year... He's like a rock solid number two receiver.
I feel like it's a little disrespectful to not have Zay Flowers taken even if he is the second best wide receiver on his team.
showed last year that I think he's even better than I expected he could be at the NFL level, that he can be like a true one
Harmon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Jamar Chase (1), Nico Collins (4), Amon-Ra St. Brown (7), Malik Nabers (10), Ladd McConkey (13), Garrett Wilson (16), Brandon Aiyuk (19), Chris Godwin (22), Travis Hunter (25), Zay Flowers (28)
I'll take the number two. I'll take Davonte Smith here at number seventeen... the fact that he's sharing those targets with AJ Brown
that's been my number one thing is like, Okay, I see, I see what you're doing. You're you're winning this job if everyone's healthy
Rosenthal's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: A.J. Brown (3), CeeDee Lamb (6), Brian Thomas Jr. (9), Drake London (12), Mike Evans (15), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (18 after trade), DK Metcalf (21), Jaylen Waddle (24), Jordan Addison (27), Josh Downs (30)
Claybon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Justin Jefferson (2), Puka Nacua (5), Tyreek Hill (8), Terry McLaurin (11), Davante Adams (14), DeVonta Smith (17), Tee Higgins (20), Chris Olave (23), Courtland Sutton (26), Jameson Williams (29)
Riley Leonard is probably gonna make starts for this team this year. I mean, I just think that's very much in the range of outcomes.