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97.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Around the NFL (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 5 of 9 articles (1 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 64.5 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
151–175 of 1,091
721 / 1,091
graded
370 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with ? wins
I think the Bengals win eight, nine games. I'm under 10 and a half.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins
So you're, I might've actually picked the Steelers, but it's because I think I projected them to go six and 11.
Denver Broncos to finish with ? wins
and I went over on the Broncos. I'm with you... I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
I think they could be an 11-win wildcard team or a 10-win wildcard team, and you win, you're over.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins
But ultimately, I think 12 is about where I see this team... And I feel good about over 10 and a half.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
they are still the class of the AFC East. I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division.
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins
And I think they're going to be the number one seed in the AFC and win 13 games. So I have the Baltimore Ravens over 11 and a half with the first pick of the over under AFC draft.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9–10 wins
So I think they'll find their way to get to nine or 10 wins.
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins
but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.
Houston Texans to finish with 10–17 wins
I am more confident... that they'll win 10-plus games than I am that they'll be a good postseason team
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
But I think they'll be 5-0 going into that and then go 7-5 the rest of the way. That's 12 wins.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
I expect them to win the division, to regain their spot atop the division. And I think they're going to win 11 games.
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins
I'm going the other side over, by the way, I don't care about you thinking they're off the board.
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 8–9 wins
I think that they win eight– I don't know if we have them eight and nine or nine and eight
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
but I think they can win 10 and make the playoffs over eight and a half Jacksonville.
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
I'm going under on your New England Patriots. And barely. I think they're going to win 10 games.
Baltimore Ravens to finish with ? wins
That's not wrecking my board. It's on my board... I would have taken it today... But I'm on the same side of you there.
Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins
that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
that should be enough, enough for 10 wins and back in the playoffs. So I'm over for Denver.
Houston Texans to finish with ? wins
I'm going Texans over nine and a half as my team.
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins
Listen, I have them going 7-10, so I don't have a big disagreement.
The Rams are number one, the Broncos are number two, the Seahawks are number three... the Eagles at four, the Bills at five, and the Ravens at six... The Jags there at seven, the Bengals at eight, and then the Texans at nine. The Bears are round out the top ten... the Bears Cowboys there at ten and eleven... Patriots at twelve... fourteen through sixteen Lions, Chiefs, Niners... the Chargers, Vikings, Colts, and Steelers seventeen eighteen, nineteen twenty... You put Saints twenty one, Bucks twenty two Panthers twenty three... the Titans twenty four and then the Falcons twenty five... Cardinals are at twenty six, Giants are at twenty seven, Browns at twenty eight, Commanders at twenty nine... Last two teams are the Raiders and the Dolphins... a team that's thirty first ranked here and the Jets are thirtieth
Dallas Cowboys to beat expectations
I think they're gonna be one of the teams that, despite being the Dallas Cowboys, are going to improve pretty significantly on their finish last year... But I think they're going to surprise some people.
Aaron Donald to make the roster
But I fully anticipate that he's gonna be on the roster.
So I think what's going to happen is right now it goes Herbert love May, and by November it's May Herbert Love