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97.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Around the NFL (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 5 of 9 articles (1 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 64.5 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
201–225 of 1,091
721 / 1,091
graded
370 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Greg Newsome II to be 1st on the depth chart
Your old guy, Greg Newsom, who's bounced around the last year from Cleveland to Jacksonville now to the Giants, I would assume is the favorite there.
Riley Moss to be 2nd on the depth chart
So I think what we're gonna get is somebody in a contract year who they trust to play a solid number two corner in Riley Moss
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
I firmly think that it's going to be a month to half of the season before they make the transition ... we have the veteran, We're going to start the season with the veteran
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
I lean toward Tua because I think if the Falcons are being, you know, kind of cautious about this and smart, they'll give Pennix more time
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
I am bullish on the Cowboys and the Chargers, for instance, making the playoffs this year.
Jahmyr Gibbs to be 1st on the depth chart
So Jamir Gibbs is going to be the guy this year, and he was the leed back, but now he's really going to be the leed back
So to go from eighth to like fourteenth... You have them as a bottom three offense
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
So I think that the Ravens and Cincinnati are both really good playoff playoff opportunities.
And Cleveland is the worst team in the league.
Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl
You have the Texans as the AFC favorites. Your numbers say they have about twice the amount of odds to win the Super Bowl as any other AFC team.
It's a pretty clear top three teams in the NFL for you too, in terms of DVOA, it's the Seahawks, Rams, and the Texans.
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 9.8 wins
And then the Ravens, who have the same win total projected.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
So I think that the Ravens and Cincinnati are both really good playoff playoff opportunities.
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
I am bullish on the Cowboys and the Chargers, for instance, making the playoffs this year.
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
You have them as a better than fifty percent chance to make the playoffs... in your models, the Colts are making the playoffs more often than not.
Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations
The Cardinals were twenty third twenty third in overall Dvoa less rays the banner despite being the most injured team in the league. And they're going to be healthier this year
you have them as the second ranked offense and the worst defense in the league. ... You had the Packers as the fourth best offense and the twenty sixth best defense
you have them as the second ranked offense and the worst defense in the league... You had the Packers as the fourth best offense and the twenty sixth best defense
It's offense. I mean, we have them projected with the top five offense.
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9.8 wins
Your projection model has the Bengals as the third best chance to make the playoffs a strong bounce back season nine point eight wins
to have him go from fifth to fourteenth, which is where they're projected... seventeenth and eighteenth overall in DVOWAY... the projections actually had the Dolphins at twenty sixth in DVOA... I was a little stunned that you had them thirty first in DVOA
Jake Slaughter to be 1st on the depth chart
Jake Slaughter, the left guard ... not only because he's slotting into start immediately at left guard
Jordan Love to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
I think that Jordan Love is a top ten quarterback. I think he should be in the top ten on any list because I think he is in the top third.
Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart
McLaurin as you're one, you have no clue who your number two is.
C.J. Allen to be 1st on the depth chart
CJ. Allen for the Colts, who I think can step in and make a big difference to the linebacker who's gonna immediately step in and start for them.