NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,519
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 343
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,519
takes graded
4,638 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB69 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB44 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs348 takes
- Los Angeles Rams299 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles296 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- Baltimore Ravens277 takes
- New England Patriots274 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders253 takes
- Seattle Seahawks241 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints150 takes
- Arizona Cardinals152 takes
- Carolina Panthers154 takes
- Indianapolis Colts168 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
3601–3625 of 3,881
NFC Playoff Seeding: 2. Cowboys
AFC Playoff Seeding: 4. Bengals
Denver Broncos: 8-9
Indianapolis Colts: 4-13
Houston Texans: 5-12
as it protects rookie starting quarterback Bryce Young
I broke down all 32 offensive lines into five different categories... 1. Philadelphia Eagles ... 32. Tennessee Titans
the team added no viable candidates on the depth chart to warrant significant touches or threaten Ekeler's workhorse status.
Tier 1 Fantasy Football RBs: Christian McCaffrey, Austin Ekeler, Saquon Barkley
The Giants have added no tangible candidates to push Barkley off of significant touches again in 2023.
While Kelce is the clear-cut TE1 and there is a gap until the TE2 comes off draft boards, we should anticipate the field will be closer to Kelce this season than last year.
Tier 1: Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes ... Tier 8: Jimmy Garoppolo, Ryan Tannehill, Baker Mayfield, Will Levis, Gardner Minshew, Colt McCoy, Clayton Tune, Jacoby Brissett, Kyle Trask, Andy Dalton, Sam Darnold
I would expect that Levis gets a call to start some games in 2023 so that Tennessee can access that they have moving forward.
The projections have Godwin as the WR17 in full-PPR scoring. I have him as WR24. ADP has him at WR28.
has the arm strength, accuracy, IQ, and dual-threat talent to warrant a top-two pick
He's expected to hear his name called first overall next spring.
The Vikings are predicted to draft Kelee Ringo (CB, Georgia) with their 1st-round pick (#23 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
The Bills are predicted to draft Bijan Robinson (RB, Texas) with their 1st round pick (#27 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
Brendan Donahue, predicts the Titans will trade up to No. 3 overall to select Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida)
Mock draft expert Ryan McCrystal predicts the Browns could target a running back like Israel Abanikanda (RB, Pitt) with their top pick at No. 74 overall in the third round.
The Texans are predicted to draft Will Anderson (EDGE, Alabama) with the No. 2 overall pick ... according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
The Buccaneers are predicted to draft Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida) with their 1st round pick (#19 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
predicts the Titans will trade up to No. 3 overall to select Anthony Richardson
The Packers are predicted to draft Myles Murphy (EDGE, Clemson) with their 1st round pick (#15 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.
The Cardinals are predicted to draft Paris Johnson Jr. (OT, Ohio State) with their 1st-round pick (#3 overall) according to the most recent mock draft from Ryan McCrystal.