NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1301–1325 of 3,881
if San Francisco can bring it back a couple of weapons, I like San Francisco.
I have a three point win for Detroit.
What's the number you're seeing for Jacksonville and the Rams? The Rams are favorite IC three. Yes, okay, I think Jacksonville wins... straight up
I had the Jaguars covering the spread... I have the Rams winning, so I don't feel strong about that game.
I think it's probably Jacoby Brissett, but Kyler Murray was at practice on Wednesday... it sounded like they would prefer to rest Kyler through the by
However, I think that the Jets, I think that they win straight up wow
I do have the Packers winning the Packers, I have them winning, but I have Arizona keeping it close.
I'm gonna end this one with the Denver Broncos, and I think that they win by more than seven.
We have the Colts at the chargers down here in La... I'll take the chargers, but I don't feel great about it.
I like Tampa Bay. I know they've got injuries, but I think now I'm getting six points, that's too much... I'll take Tampa Bay getting six points
I'm gonna take the Rams to cover sticks picks
I gotta go with the Chargers. Man, I'm gonna go with the Chargers.
I'm gonna take the points on this one with the bucks Man.
I can money line them. They're the underdog... I'm going to money line and say that they're going to win.
The Texans after that Jaguars game seem to have woken up... I'm going to take the Texans as a money line.
we have the Texans at my number one Seattle Seahawks... I'll take the Texans getting the points
I'm showing the Rams as a three point favorite. Right now, I'm gonna take I'll take the Jaguars.
If there's one thing the Eagles know, it's Carson Wentz and they know how that ends, I'm gonna go Philly, Mnus a point and a half.
I think they will likely go to Los Angeles and beat the Chargers.
One I had Indy... I put the charters at two... that's why I had them at two to one spot ahead of Pittsburgh... I put k C at four... And then the fifth spot, I came down to Denver and Buffalo, and I ended up going Denver.
I would have Indy Pittsburgh or have the Chargers. Don't have the Chiefs in the top five, I would have the Broncos after that, and then I'm kind of stuck with... the Patriots and in the Bills. And here's the thing why I would lean towards the Patriots coaching in quarterback.
And when you make the Pro Bowl this year is one of those NFC running backs, come back and tell us how you
Number five, I got the Chiefs... Now number four. I like the Seahawks... Now number three, I still got the Lions... Now. Number two, I got Tampa... Number one. I got the coach... So I got the Indianapolis coach.
The Chargers are a very good team. We probably expect to be in the playoffs.
I have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of five... I have the Rams at four... number three... I have the Lions... number two... I have the Chiefs... I'm going with the Coats as the number one team right now