NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2151–2175 of 3,881
you have them in your overall DVOA projections for the year. The Eagles as the seventh best team in the NFL, So not that much different than where Washington is at five... the Panthers are dead last... You have the Saints projected to be like the thirtieth best team in the league.
I haven't decided whether like they're going to be one of my playoff teams or not, but i'd probably lean towards yes
You have both the Steelers and the Cowboys as losing teams projected for seven point seven wins each.
Jacoby Myers is a night slot receiver, but he's no one idea of a number one. But the number one is really Bowers.
They're going to depend on a second round rookie, probably to start Trey Harris now that Mike Williams is retired
you have the Jaguars at nine wins. You have them at a fifty four point seven percent chance to make the playoffs.
You have the forty nine Ers at projected for eleven point two wins, which is the most in the NFC, it's the third most in the NFL.
They're likely top running back by the end of the year's going outside the top forty
he's going to be a true workhorse back and push you know, top five value as a rookie
I think he could be the Packers number one wide receiver this year... I think he's going to be the number one when it's all said and done
I have um QB twelve
I still think Baker is a top ten fantasy quarterback... somewhere in that six to twelve range. I think I have them number six
Matthew Stafford's passing touchdown prop is twenty two and a half. I think that's a couple touchdowns too low. So I'm taking that over
I am down on Puoka. To me, he's one of the most overdrafted players right now in fancy football. Would not be taking Puoka in the first round.
So he's going to be a workhorse back from day one... this is Gent's backfield. He has zero competition.
Simon and I have talked about our top ten quarterback lists, and we both like Baker as a top ten quarterback. We both had him at number ten.
where he's going, like outside the top forty at running back, he could still be the lead back
So Higgins ceiling is still, you know, just the number two receiver on this team... there is room For higgins to be the number two. Target
This is a guy who I project to lead the league in passing touchdowns and it's not even close.
At number ten, we've got Rock Purty... At number nine... It's Baker Mayfield... At number eight, we got our sophomore bow Nicks... At number seven, it's Kyler Murray... at number six, Patrick Mahomes... number five. Jayden Daniels... Lamar Jackson comes in at number four... At number three, Tush push still there... Jalen Hurts... So Joe Burrow... and at number one... Josh Allen... Jared Goff's eleven.
but Lamar Jackson, I have to see him, Scooter. I put him at probably two three.
So it could get up to fifty this year.
I had the forty nine ers with at least double digit wins, probably eleven. That's the number.
Jameis is gonna be your backup, veteran backup
Russ is gonna win the job because it's gonna be his job.