NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2176–2200 of 3,881
and Dart's gonna be the ooh. I don't know, we don't know anything about him... But I think for now that's the way it lines up.
I guess it's Russ's job to lose... I guess he's probably gonna be the starter.
Russ is gonna win the job because it's gonna be his job.
Jameis is gonna be your backup, veteran backup
He probably isn't gonna win that group. I think he'll be fourth or fifth.
it's eight for Harrison Junior and seven for neighbors. So it's not like so different
I think Drake May himself uses his legs for about four hundred yards.
Seven to six I have. David Montgomery was one.
Seven to six I have. David Montgomery was one. (question: David Montgomery or DeAndre Swift, who's going to have more rushing touchdowns?)
Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.
Now, by the way, it's eight for Harrison Junior and seven for neighbors.
Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.
But is definitely top five and he's at five.
I don't think I would he's five. If you say he's top five, he's five... I'm not getting him out of the top five
He one of the three best quarterbacks in the NFL.
If you're here, is what my rankings would look like. If I were doing, I would go one Patrick, two, Josh three, Lamar four, Joe five, Stafford six, Jalen Hurts seven with an asterisk of it's probably too early, but I give it to him. Jaden Daniels eight, Baker And then it gets trickier.
my number twelve was Herbert... Golf [eleven]... I had Baker at ten... So I have him in nine [Daniels]. CJ at number eight. number seven... Dak... Number six I got Joe Burrow... I have Stafford number five... number four went with Lamar... I put Josh on number three... [Hurts] number two... obviously number one Chad, no doubt about it. Mahomes... I do have pretty at fourteen
number ten. Baker Mayfield... I put Rock Party at nine... Number eight, justin Herbert... Seven. I had Jared Goff six, I had Jaden Daniels five, I had Jalen Hurts four, Joe Burrow three, Lamar two, Josh Allen one, Patrick Mahomes... on my outside looking in Stafford eleven, two, twelve, c. J. Stroud thirteen.
I kind of just thought I had I would have Stroud there... I also have brock Purty nine... I have Stafford eight... I have Herbert seven... Jane Daniels six, Jalen Hurts five... I have Lamar behind Burrow just for the playoff stuff... and then Alan Mahomes.
I think Dak is the guy that makes it back on the list next year... I think he gets back on that list in twenty twenty six when they do that list list again.
Clearly we see his ceiling or the floor that is the floor is tight end swell tight end thirteen. He is a number one tight end
I do agree with a lot of what treal is saying about Hunter Henry, but I would take Tyler Warren just for the sure possibilities with the upside.
I am on Philadelphia, Green Bay, San Francisco, Detroit, Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta.
All of us have the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Bills.
I am on Philadelphia, Green Bay, San Francisco, Detroit, Chicago, Dallas, Atlanta.