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97.54% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Move the Sticks (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 3 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 78.5 accuracy (3 settled)
901–925 of 1,103
885 / 1,103
graded
218 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 3 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when its writers strayed: 72.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 91.8 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 59.5 accuracy (2 settled)
Denver Broncos to beat expectations
they not only close to Gavin in the AFC West, they got better and might be challenging for the AFC as a whole this year... I think Denver could be a real viable candidate in the AFC this year.
Buffalo Bills to beat expectations
But why are we not talking about the Buffalo Bills... this is an old line right now that is really really good, ready to go... this edition of Joey Bosa I think really is going to take it over the edge
J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
it seems Tom that the direction the Vikings are going are JJ McCarthy and then maybe a veteran behind him rather than Aaron Rodgers for year, wait on JJ McCarthy and kind of proceed from there. As of right now, that seems to be the direction for the Vikings.
Houston Texans to beat expectations
I like the Texans. I like where the Texans are going... yes, the Texans in twenty twenty five the alternative choice.
Baltimore Ravens to beat expectations
but I will say the Ravens, I'm a big believer in... I think the Ravens are the ones who have closed the gap with the Kansas City Chiefs.
We're doing top five guys who carry the fullback mentality to their positions... Number five... Malik Mustafa... Number four is Vita Vea... Buddha Baker... Number two... George Kittle... And number one... Pine Sewel
Russell Wilson to move
I would imagine Russell Wilson will end up with either Pittsburgh, New York or Cleveland as a veteran guy.
Aaron Rodgers to move to New York Giants
Rogers to the Giants. I still think it's very possible... I could see Rogers to the Giants, and I could see that happening in both sides being like, let's f the world
Sam Darnold to move to Minnesota Vikings
Sam Darnold doesn't get the franchise tag, right, I still think he goes back to Minnesota. That's my big swing here.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2
I think it's a really good chance that it goes cam Ward one Shador Sanders too
Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers
I think has his choice. He's going to stick in Pittsburgh over going to the Jets and another rebuilding thing.
Milton Williams to move
we know the Eagles are going to have to say farewell to several top talent. I would imagine guys like Milton Williams and Josh Sweat
Josh Sweat to move
we know the Eagles are going to have to say farewell to several top talent. I would imagine guys like Milton Williams and Josh Sweat
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
Justin Field is going to be an NFL starter next year.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
I think it's a really good chance that it goes cam Ward one Shador Sanders too
Trey Amos to be picked “top fifty picks”
I think he's going to go in the top fifty picks when it's all said and done.
Shemar Stewart to be picked “gone by the early twenties”
I would guess those guys, I mean, I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.
Jahdae Barron to be picked “top fifteen” (picks 1–15)
it makes him a very attractive candidate to be maybe a top fifteen player
Landon Jackson to be picked “thirty to forty”
So he's going in the top fifty picks. It's just a matter of where he goes. To me, he feels like if I was going to guess thirty to forty
Logan Brown to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.
Anthony Belton to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton... always like third round type type guys.
Jalen Travis to be picked “third round type” (picks 65–102)
I have Jayalen, Travis, Logan Brown, Anthony Belton. Those guys are all together in my little clump right there. All is sixty one always like third round type type guys.
James Pearce Jr. to be picked “gone by the early twenties”
I think they're both gone by the early twenties. I think they'll come off the board.
Omarion Hampton to be 2nd running back off the board
Omar and Hampton. We won't get into him. And he's I mean, he's at worst the second running back.
Ashton Jeanty to be drafted ahead of Omar and Hampton
I have heard some conversation about, oh, maybe he closes in on Gent. I still think Gent goes ahead of him, but it's going to be close.