NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,670
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 349
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,670
takes graded
4,789 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR53 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Philadelphia Eagles315 takes
- Los Angeles Rams301 takes
- Buffalo Bills294 takes
- New England Patriots283 takes
- Baltimore Ravens283 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders262 takes
- Seattle Seahawks246 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- Carolina Panthers156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals169 takes
- Indianapolis Colts170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
776–800 of 3,881
Obviously they get this win. I think the winner of this game wins the Super Bowl.
I too think that New England is going to be too tough a task for them... New England Patriots are going to be marching out of the Super Bowl.
bought New England at the most important position, has a sizeable advantage. Drake May over Jarrett Stidham, and I think that's the difference in the game.
who are the ten best players between the Patriots and Broncos in our opinion or at least mine heading into the AFC Championship
they're going to be at the bottom of the first round for the next ten Years
This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen
I'll say twenty four twenty or twenty four to seventeen that range for New England, and I think ... so I will take New England minus the three
And I think this is forty two to twenty seven Rams
I do think that all of a sudden, the Giants could be a five hundred ish team next year
I wouldn't blink twice if Joe Burrow throws forty five touchdowns next year if he's healthy
they're like, no, we're playing James Hook on third downs Now, I could see him being a top three finisher again.
Yes, going with Jeon Robinson... So he's my number two player [Gibbs]... My number one wide receiver is Jamar Chase... So James Cook for me is number four... I got Jackson Smith and Jig Pooka, Nakua, Jonathan Taylor, and Cede Lamb rounding out picks five through eight... So pick nine, I'm on Ross Saint Brown. Pick ten, Devon a Chan. Pick eleven is take one Barkley... And then pick twelve, mister Christian McCaffrey.
I actually go Bjon Robinson, and then my next three are all wide receivers with Puka Nakua, Jackson Smith and Jigba and Jamar Chase... so all four of this are running backs at Jamiir Gibbs... push him down to six... Jonathan Taylor is so quickly everybody forgot... a chan... So James Cook is at number nine for me... And then I come back to wide receiver Rashi Rice and mon Ron Saint. Brown is my double tap here... and then I finished it out with a Marion Hampton.
so you have Devonte Smith stepping in as a wide receiver One.
and that means Chase is going to catch fifteen, sixty, maybe twenty touchdowns
it's Jackson Smith and Jigba who is going to have a huge solo... Jamar Chase at one, because he's my number two... Bjeon Robinson is my three... And then my four is Puka Nakua... aman Rad go to four and jamieer Gibbs go to five... Cede Lamb for me is still pick number seven... Drake London is my pick number eight... Justin Jefferson... Jonathan Taylor does sneak into my top ten... James Cook at eleven for me... And then at twelve for me... CMC
This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen, and it's not some close classic... That's my official prediction for how the Broncos season ends.
Demanse, your picks are Buffalo plus one, the Niners plus seven, New England minus three, Chicago plus four the one we disagree with, and Miami plus the eight and a half.
But I think it ends for the Bears this weekend. And I think this is forty two to twenty seven Rams
I'll say twenty four twenty or twenty four to seventeen that range for New England... So I'll lay the three points with the Pats.
First off, you've got Buffalo plus one at Denver... Next, I'm there with you.
I am going road dog style. I think the Texans win eleven in a row. I like Houston.
I'm actually going Rams because they of what they almost did at Philadelphia last year
If they show up like that again in this game, it's gonna be the Bills... I'm staying with the Bills.
Sam Donald, I'm calling it right now. Two picks and he's gonna throw for under two hundred yards.