NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1351–1375 of 3,881
I really feel good about the Bengals playing the Packers... So don't be surprised if the Bengals happen to win against the Packers, who are probably heavily favored.
But this feels like a Philly six point win... So I'll take Philly despite all the noise around to minus the three and a half
Yeah. I think Baltimore is gonna win. And I think there is added value here because ten days ago this game was Baltimore minus nine and a half.
I think the Jets at home healthier win twenty eight, twenty seven, take the points.
I think we have a blowout on the horizon. Cardinals win at thirty one to thirteen.
I'm rooting Chargers here obviously. I think the Chargers get it done.
I'm gonna take Denver to win close, low scoring game twenty four to twenty three.
I like the Colts at home to win and cover... twenty eight to twenty Colts win it won't feel this close.
I mean they are in rough shape. I just on principle, I gotta go with the Texans here
My second pick is the Colts to win by six and a half. More than six and a half. Okay, they're playing the Raiders, they're at home.
it's Seattle at home against the Buccaneers. I think Seattle might be the best team in the league. ... I would go up to six seven points on this and like the Seahawks in this specific week.
even though I have the Chargers winning, I want to take Washington with the field goal of points... I do have the Chargers winning, but it's very close
I think I have the Eagles by one point. That's where the model I set it out
I'm actually with you on this one... I feel very confident that Seattle win.
I'm having the Broncos win in Philadelphia. ... I like the Broncos to go in, maybe make a statement and go ahead and win it.
he's certainly demons has to be in your top five. Certainly.
all of a sudden, you have Thornton as your number three, Hollywood is your four, Juju is depth
I still think Jefferson is the best receiver in football
if we just play this out and I think they are going to win this weekend... I think they could win with with Cooper Rush... if you just run Dereck Henry thirty five times, I think you can beat up flailing Texans team
We're gonna put the Chiefs and the Chargers in
I would be very surprised if Kansas City can't go to Jacksonville and figure out how to get a win against a really good Jags team... But I don't think they're gonna win.
the Bills are going to be in under this scenario
We're gonna put the Chiefs and the Chargers in
let's just say the Colts keep doing what they're doing and they're in those five teams
you have Thornton as your number three, Hollywood is your four, Juju is depth