NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1976–2000 of 3,881
I think brock Bowers is going to have the best statistical season of any tight end.
I feel like the Bills are a twelve and five team. I don't think they're getting to thirteen wins.
Third of the way into the season, they pull the plug on Flacco. They go to Dylan Gabriel. They're still quite bad.
I will say it's a seven and ten Dolphins year, and I will go slightly under.
he started camp fourth string, he stayed fourth string. He's now third string because one of the strings is on the Raiders... he is fairly right now their third best option to starting quarterback
I think the Patriots win nine or ten games, can make the playoffs
I think they probably go nine and eight and just miss out on the playoffs.
I think it is more than on the board that this team goes seven and ten. They are more likely to go seven and ten than ten and seven.
Twelve and five would disappoint me. I expect thirteen and four or better.
the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire their head coach.
the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third of the way into the season, they pull the plug on Flacco.
I don't think they're a dominant team... but I think they can get to ten wins.
So I thought I may have CJ. Stroud ten and Baker eleven ish that felt about right.
I would say he's going to make five or six Pro Bowls in his time in the NFC
if you have a dominant defense with an offensive coach who's proven, like, how are your floor is so high? I mean your floor is immediately like ten wins.
even if he's just averaging six seven targets per game, for somebody that's going super late in draft, that can be the number two
he's clearly been the number two. He's been run out there as the number two... the two that we know right now is actually Marvin Mims
Top fifteen wide receiver top. I'm gonna stand on that top fifteen.
He's QB twenty two in ECR right now... I feel reasonably confident. Actually he's going to finish better than QB twenty two, assuming health
we have one clear option, Matthew Golden is clearly going to be the one
Williams is going to be the first quarterback in Bear's history to throw for four thousand yards and thirty plus touchdowns.
Do you think Craft can rise above that and have this kind of like top five ish tight end season. Speaker 3: I do
Williams is going to be the first quarterback in Bear's history to throw for four thousand yards and thirty plus touchdowns.
he could spike ten to twelve touchdowns this year
And if this all happens, that he could be sniffing like top five, top six type of production this year... the more like high end expectations for him is probably top five, top six