NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2126–2150 of 3,881
You would put him right next right behind Lamar Burrow, Allen Mahomes... I think he's got to be right there.
the Falcons get over on seven and a half wins
Bills are a clear overteam at eleven and a half.
I am fourth on a bad quarterback depth chart for a bad organization... because if you're fourth on that depth chart, you're a long ways away from actually playing meaningful football in the NFL
it's going to be even more exciting when Herbert goes eight and nine and you're like, but actually he throws such a tight spiral
The Chargers. I expect them back in the playoffs
we will begin with my top ten teams heading in to the upcoming football season... Number ten, it's the Chargers of Los Angeles... Number nine the Washington Commanders... Number eight the San Francisco forty nine ers... Cincinnati Bengals [number seven]... Number six... this Rams team... Number five... Baltimore Ravens... Number four... the Bills... The Detroit Lions come in at number three... Number two the Kansas City Chiefs... Number one the Philadelphia Eagles
Explain to me why Justin Herbert isn't the fifth best quarterback in football because he passes my beautiful eye test.
with the best running back in the NFL
Top ten quarterbacks in the NFL heading into the twenty twenty five NFL season, Number ten, Jalen Hurts ... Number nine ... Baker Mayfield ... Number eight Jared Goff ... Number seven ... Jaden Daniels ... Number six ... Matt Stafford ... Number five ... Justin Herbert ... Number four ... Lamar Jackson ... Number three. Joe Burrow ... Number two ... Josh Allen ... Number one ... Mahomes
Anthony Richardson is going into his third year. I think we all know how this thing's gonna end. Daniel Jones going to be starting week one.
I mean, I expect the Packers to make the playoffs
the pathway for him to be the un like unquestioned wide receiver one alpha in this offense
I've got Tedoro mcmillans Wide receiver seventeen thirty.
Tony Pollard could be a top fifteen running back based off a volume in an improved situation.
I have George Pickens as a top twenty wide receiver. He's my wide receiver sixteen.
I think there's a definitive chance that May is a top twelve quarterback this year... So Drake May could easily be a top twelve quarterback.
So I have May rank QB eight. I really do believe he's going to be a top ten quarterback this season if he stays healthy.
Pollard's the unquestioned leader this backfield.
I have him at wide receiver twenty one forty six overall.
Ten Frankie Louvu nine, Denzel Paraman eight, Nick Bolton seven, Zach Bond six, Alex Anzeloni... So this is my top five. Number one, I got Bobby Wagner, number two, I've got Fred Warner, three, Dre Greenlaw for Levonte David five, ro Kwan Smith.
you have the Jaguars at nine wins. You have them at a fifty four point seven percent chance to make the playoffs.
Jacoby Myers is a night slot receiver, but he's no one idea of a number one. But the number one is really Bowers.
You have the Commanders at ten point six wins. That's about a win ahead of the Eagles.
we've got the Raiders with your projections getting eight point three wins... thirty eight point six percent chance of making the playoffs