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97.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Around the NFL (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 5 of 9 articles (1 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 64.5 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
476–500 of 1,091
726 / 1,091
graded
365 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.0 accuracy (3 settled)
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Titans 16
I have thirty sixteen. So and you know, my mom and... your model is very conservative.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
You know that they're gonna get in the as a wild card and face Green Bay in the first round
New York Giants to beat Washington
My number two is a number two, as in the spread is number is two Washington and the Giants... I'm gonna take the Giants.
Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
it hurts my soul too much to take the Bills in this exercise. I do think the Bills are gonna win.
Houston Texans to beat Arizona
I'm just gonna go with Houston to win by more than ten.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Vikings
Could it be a little bit of a letdown game for the Vikings who finally just got the monkey off their back... and I'm with you, Okay, yep
San Francisco 49ers 38 — Titans 13
Can the Titans keep up in a shootout? I don't think so. I'm going thirty eight thirteen.
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Raiders
I'm taking the Eagles minus eleven and a half... I like the Eagles to bounce back.
New York Giants to beat Washington
I'm gonna take the Giants. Okay, that's who I have too.
Denver Broncos to beat Raiders
I'm I'm completely with you. (on Denver minus seven and a half)
Buffalo Bills to beat Bengals
I see the numbers five and a half for Buffalo at home... I think that this is where the Bills at home the might... I think the Bills need to keep it together.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans
And then also Patrick Mahomes's ability to scramble just narrowly puts them over the top... I know you're on the other side of that least in terms of wins
Cleveland Browns to beat Titans
My last one's gonna be the Browns... So they need to win by five points more, got it? That's what I'm taking
Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota
I don't care which which Washington quarterback is playing. Washington wins this one.
Denver Broncos to beat Raiders
I love Denver winning this game by about twenty points... I think they're gonna win, and they're gonna win big.
Houston Texans to beat Chiefs
I like the Texans to win this game and at the very least cover that spread.
Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota
But Marcus Mariota has been playing great football. Yes, anyways, so I think he's gonna win that game too. I'm with you on this one.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Eagles
I'm going Chargers to cover three points against the Eagles... I like the Chargers to win.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina
Versus car It's at Carolina. It's ten and a half points... I think they win. I think they win going away. This is the best team in football right now
Indianapolis Colts to beat Houston
Do I think they win straight up? Probably not... My model does have four and a half points. I have a three point win for Indianapolis.
Houston Texans to beat Colts
It's a Texans. They're getting four and a half points in Indianapolis, and I think they're gonna win straight up.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Minnesota
ten and a half points at home against Minnesota... I just think that Seattle's a lot better.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders
Give me the Los Angeles Chargers... Minus ten this week against the... Raiders offense and team... I have no reason to believe that that offensive line can stop Tully and Khalil Mack
Detroit Lions to win the division
I'm not giving up on my Lions because I did have them in the Super Bowl this year, but and I do think they still will win the division.
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
I'm not giving up on my Lions because I did have them in the Super Bowl this year