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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
34% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
351 / 1,018
graded
667 still pending
76–100 of 1,018
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC South champion)
Detroit Lions to win the division
2. Detroit Lions (NFC North champion)
Buffalo Bills to win the division
4. Buffalo Bills (AFC East champion)
Houston Texans to win the division
2. Houston Texans (AFC South champion)
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
1. Seattle Seahawks (NFC West champion) ... Our simulation has the SEAHAWKS winning the division.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
1. Baltimore Ravens (AFC North champion)
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
3. Philadelphia (NFC East champion) ... Our simulation has the Eagles running away with the division.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I have the Bills, the Ravens, the Texans, and the Chiefs winning their division.
Detroit Lions to win the division
they are my pick to win the NFC North, but I'm not going to put money behind it
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
The Bucs at 35%. ... I still believe in Tampa.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
And then in the NFC West, another 35%. And that is Seattle. ... I think Seattle has earned favorite status
Houston Texans to win the division
I have the Bills, the Ravens, the Texans, and the Chiefs winning their division.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
I like Kansas City. They are the favorite to win the division
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
So Baltimore, even though I'm only getting plus 113, Baltimore to win the AFC North.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
I have the Eagles who won it last year, the Lions who came in last last year technically, the Bucs who should have won it but didn't, and the Seahawks repeating as division champions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
And I've got the Bucks winning the division.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
something about this Bucks team and the way they rally around Baker Mayfield makes me feel like they're going to do the same and... carry them to victory in this division
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
Somehow the Bucks winning the division, Saints second.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
So I I picked the Bengals to win the division just because I've been high on the Bengals.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I like Buffalo more than most, largest favorites to win their division.
Detroit Lions to win the division
Detroit has the easiest schedule in the NFL entering 2026 ... that should help them stack up wins in what should be a wildly competitive NFC North.
New Orleans Saints to win the division
With one of the easiest paths in the league, New Orleans can be one of the surprise teams of 2026.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
Dallas wins the NFC East for the first time since 2023.
Houston Texans to win the division
I think the Texans have the best defense in the AFC ... forget the division title, this team could be a surprise Super Bowl contender.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
Dak has enough around him to win a wide-open NFC East.