Sleeper Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 2,775
- Graded
- 308
- Average accuracy
- 52.6
- Pundits
- 183
11% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
308 / 2,775
graded
2,467 still pending
Who is good at sleeper calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 2 graded+200.0
- Peter Schrager100 accuracy · 2 graded+200.0
- Jourdan Rodrigue100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Mike Mayock100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Gregg Rosenthal100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Patrick Claybon100 accuracy · 1 graded+122.0
- Rich Hribar80 accuracy · 5 graded+120.0
- Brandon Carney100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0
- Marcus Mosher67 accuracy · 13 graded+66.7
- Seth Woolcock67 accuracy · 3 graded+66.7
- Tom Strachan65 accuracy · 24 graded+60.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice59 accuracy · 32 graded+34.1
- Ryan Wormeli55 accuracy · 12 graded+20.0
- Chris Raybon55 accuracy · 11 graded+18.2
- Mike Harmon55 accuracy · 20 graded+10.6
- Derek Brown52 accuracy · 41 graded+9.0
- Scott Bogman50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Jason Cabinda50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Cynthia Frelund50 accuracy · 4 graded-2.8
- Andrew Erickson45 accuracy · 37 graded-13.0
- Mason Dodd44 accuracy · 16 graded-25.0
- Chris Welsh40 accuracy · 17 graded-42.2
- Joe Dolan33 accuracy · 6 graded-66.7
- Terrell Furman Jr33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Mitchell Eisenstein33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Jake Ciely27 accuracy · 15 graded-74.1
- Joe Pisapia20 accuracy · 9 graded-93.5
- Sean Kerner25 accuracy · 4 graded-100.0
- Chad Ochocinco Johnson0 accuracy · 1 graded-100.0
- Greg Cosell0 accuracy · 1 graded-100.0
- Matt Money Smith0 accuracy · 1 graded-100.0
- Ross Jackson0 accuracy · 1 graded-100.0
- Adam Rank0 accuracy · 3 graded-122.0
- Chris Brockman17 accuracy · 4 graded-133.3
- Rich Eisen0 accuracy · 3 graded-200.0
- Kyle Brandt0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Aaron Schatz0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Isaac Rochell0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Manti Te'o0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- Sharp Football Analysis80.0 · 5 graded
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)100.0 · 1 graded
- Around the NFL (podcast)75.0 · 4 graded
- The 33rd Team66.7 · 13 graded
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)55.0 · 20 graded
- The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)50.0 · 4 graded
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)50.0 · 2 graded
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)39.7 · 241 graded
- Move the Sticks (podcast)37.5 · 10 graded
- Nightcap (podcast)0.0 · 1 graded
- Locked On Saints (podcast)0.0 · 1 graded
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)16.7 · 6 graded
Every sleeper calls take
651–675 of 2,775
Keenan Allen to outplay his draft cost
Even in his advanced age, Allen should still command a high volume of targets as a future Hall of Famer.
Mike Washington to outplay his draft cost
Head coach Klint Kubiak recently stated that both running backs “will prepare to play a lot of football,” and this will clearly be more of a 50/50 split than originally anticipated.
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
One player available at this spot with undeniable upside is Ashton Jeanty.
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see him as a value here
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.
Justin Jefferson to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if we see a bump to a similar range for Jefferson and his catchable target rate increases, then Jefferson should be fine
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost
Tight ends such as Chig Okonkwo emerged from the preseason with encouraging usage
Najee Harris to outplay his draft cost
Harris is also a solid late-round sleeper, as his ADP hasn’t moved much despite signing with New York.
- PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Likely is currently the 12th tight-end going off the board)
With the increase in playing time, targets, and opportunity, Likely could be a very valuable sleeper in 2026-27.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls
Jake Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (Ferguson isn’t even being drafted in 10-team leagues)
Jake Ferguson is going completely overlooked based on current ADP, which makes him one of the easiest players to add to our recommendations as a sleeper going into the upcoming season.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls
Jake Tonges to outplay his draft cost
Tonges is certainly could end this season as a major sleeper at the tight end position.
Jake TongesSan Francisco 49ers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost (If you choose to wait on tight ends to the very end of your draft)
Chig Okonkwo will be donning a different uniform this season, and with that, could be in line for a much more productive season than expected... Okonkwo makes for a solid add, especially in 12-team leagues or larger.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (currently being drafted as the 16th tight end)
His ADP absolutely warrant a sleeper tag as well, especially in smaller leagues. Juwan Johnson is currently being drafted as the 16th tight end in PPR leagues.
Juwan JohnsonNew Orleans Saints
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)
The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP)
Tucker Kraft has a sixth-round ADP... should be a key contributor to the Green Bay passing game.
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost
it's worth leaning into the Chicago backfield... I would rather have D'Andre Swift than Quinshon Judkins, even though Judkins is expected to have more touches.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)
Justin Herbert has an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round... the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)
Harold Fannin is coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn... there are some gems to be mined at tight end in the middle rounds.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)
Brock Purdy has a late-eighth-round ADP... I would rather have a Brock Purdy/Ladd McConkey combo than a Josh Allen/Michael Wilson combo.
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)
On a recent podcast, I touted Packers WR Christian Watson as a high-upside player worth pursuing... Risk aversion typically drops Watson into the sixth round of 12-team drafts. That's appealing value
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn)
Trevor Lawrence has an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn... The middle rounds are loaded with quality fantasy quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost
I’m not shying away from buying the dip with Hurts despite the worries.
Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost
Derek Brown loves to target these quarterbacks in 2026 fantasy football drafts. Drake Maye (NE)
- PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls
Zach Charbonnet to outplay his draft cost (ADP 42)
4 Zach Charbonnet SEA 11 3 46 42
Zach CharbonnetSeattle Seahawks
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (late in drafts)
Take a flier on Lloyd late in drafts.
By sport
NFL — sleeper calls (331 graded)
The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.