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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
11% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
308 / 2,775
graded
2,467 still pending
651–675 of 2,775
Keenan Allen to outplay his draft cost
Even in his advanced age, Allen should still command a high volume of targets as a future Hall of Famer.
Mike Washington to outplay his draft cost
Head coach Klint Kubiak recently stated that both running backs “will prepare to play a lot of football,” and this will clearly be more of a 50/50 split than originally anticipated.
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
One player available at this spot with undeniable upside is Ashton Jeanty.
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see him as a value here
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.
Justin Jefferson to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if we see a bump to a similar range for Jefferson and his catchable target rate increases, then Jefferson should be fine
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost
Tight ends such as Chig Okonkwo emerged from the preseason with encouraging usage
Najee Harris to outplay his draft cost
Harris is also a solid late-round sleeper, as his ADP hasn’t moved much despite signing with New York.
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Likely is currently the 12th tight-end going off the board)
With the increase in playing time, targets, and opportunity, Likely could be a very valuable sleeper in 2026-27.
Jake Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (Ferguson isn’t even being drafted in 10-team leagues)
Jake Ferguson is going completely overlooked based on current ADP, which makes him one of the easiest players to add to our recommendations as a sleeper going into the upcoming season.
Jake Tonges to outplay his draft cost
Tonges is certainly could end this season as a major sleeper at the tight end position.
Jake TongesSan Francisco 49ers
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost (If you choose to wait on tight ends to the very end of your draft)
Chig Okonkwo will be donning a different uniform this season, and with that, could be in line for a much more productive season than expected... Okonkwo makes for a solid add, especially in 12-team leagues or larger.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (currently being drafted as the 16th tight end)
His ADP absolutely warrant a sleeper tag as well, especially in smaller leagues. Juwan Johnson is currently being drafted as the 16th tight end in PPR leagues.
Juwan JohnsonNew Orleans Saints
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)
The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP)
Tucker Kraft has a sixth-round ADP... should be a key contributor to the Green Bay passing game.
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost
it's worth leaning into the Chicago backfield... I would rather have D'Andre Swift than Quinshon Judkins, even though Judkins is expected to have more touches.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)
Justin Herbert has an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round... the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)
Harold Fannin is coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn... there are some gems to be mined at tight end in the middle rounds.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)
Brock Purdy has a late-eighth-round ADP... I would rather have a Brock Purdy/Ladd McConkey combo than a Josh Allen/Michael Wilson combo.
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)
On a recent podcast, I touted Packers WR Christian Watson as a high-upside player worth pursuing... Risk aversion typically drops Watson into the sixth round of 12-team drafts. That's appealing value
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn)
Trevor Lawrence has an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn... The middle rounds are loaded with quality fantasy quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost
I’m not shying away from buying the dip with Hurts despite the worries.
Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost
Derek Brown loves to target these quarterbacks in 2026 fantasy football drafts. Drake Maye (NE)
Zach Charbonnet to outplay his draft cost (ADP 42)
4 Zach Charbonnet SEA 11 3 46 42
Zach CharbonnetSeattle Seahawks
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (late in drafts)
Take a flier on Lloyd late in drafts.