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NFL Award Predictions 2026: MVP and More, Graded | MissedTakes

NFL / Award Picks

NFL award picks

Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →

Takes logged: 683
Graded: 354
Average accuracy: 21.2
Pundits: 147

How these land

Every graded call of this kind, by score.

Takes in each band

279

75 scored 80+279 under 40

Settled or waiting

354 / 683

graded

329 still pending

The field's ballot

Permalink

Who punditry picked for each award, reconstructed from graded calls, with the actual winner marked. Some years the chalk cruises; some years the whole ballot goes down together.

MVP · 2025100 calls

Matthew Stafford ✓ won26 of 100
Drake Maye14 of 100
Baker Mayfield8 of 100
Lamar Jackson7 of 100

Who these calls are about

Players named most often.

Matthew StaffordQB33 takes
Josh AllenQB31 takes

Who is good at this

MissedTakes score for this kind only. Zero means no better than guessing.

Joe Hayden100 accuracy · 1 graded+150.0
Shannon Sharpe100 accuracy · 2 graded+125.0
Chad Ochocinco Johnson

By publisher

2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)100.0 · 2 graded
Nightcap (podcast)75.0 · 5 graded

Every NFL award picks take

51–75 of 683

SearchVerdictSeasonSort

0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Josh Allen

5 of 100

Joe Burrow4 of 100

Offensive Rookie Of The Year · 202529 calls

Ashton Jeanty5 of 29
Tetairoa McMillan ✓ won5 of 29
Emeka Egbuka4 of 29
Cam Ward3 of 29
Tyler Shough3 of 29
Travis Hunter2 of 29

Offensive Player Of The Year · 202520 calls

Jaxon Smith-Njigba ✓ won7 of 20
Jonathan Taylor4 of 20
Puka Nacua2 of 20
Jahmyr Gibbs2 of 20
Christian McCaffrey2 of 20
Ja'Marr Chase1 of 20

Defensive Player Of The Year · 202518 calls

Myles Garrett ✓ won6 of 18
Micah Parsons4 of 18
Jared Verse2 of 18
Jalen Carter2 of 18
Maxx Crosby1 of 18
Aidan Hutchinson1 of 18

Defensive Rookie Of The Year · 202517 calls

Abdul Carter5 of 17
Carson Schwesinger ✓ won4 of 17
Shemar Stewart2 of 17
Malaki Starks2 of 17
Travis Hunter2 of 17
Jihaad Campbell2 of 17

Comeback Player Of The Year · 20256 calls

Christian McCaffrey ✓ won2 of 6
Joe Burrow1 of 6
Aidan Hutchinson1 of 6
Joe Flacco1 of 6
Javonte Williams1 of 6

Joe BurrowQB

28 takes

Lamar JacksonQB27 takes

Dak PrescottQB26 takes

Patrick MahomesQB22 takes

Myles GarrettLB18 takes

Drake MayeQB17 takes

Teams involved

Los Angeles Rams54 takes
Dallas Cowboys46 takes
Cincinnati Bengals33 takes
Tampa Bay Buccaneers32 takes
Baltimore Ravens32 takes
Detroit Lions31 takes
Kansas City Chiefs29 takes
Buffalo Bills28 takes

100 accuracy · 1 graded

+111.0

Brady Quinn100 accuracy · 1 graded+111.0

Jonas Knox100 accuracy · 1 graded+111.0

Damien Woody100 accuracy · 1 graded+106.0

Brandon Carney100 accuracy · 6 graded+100.0

Brandon Anderson50 accuracy · 2 graded+100.0

Andrew Erickson100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0

Pat McAfee100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0

Lance Zierlein100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0

Bucky Brooks100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0

Bobby Bones100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0

Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell100 accuracy · 1 graded+100.0

Dan Pizzuta50 accuracy · 2 graded+89.0

Peter Schrager75 accuracy · 3 graded+75.0

Greg Jennings33 accuracy · 6 graded+66.7

Charles Davis33 accuracy · 6 graded+66.7

Jason McIntyre67 accuracy · 6 graded+66.7

The Miz33 accuracy · 3 graded+66.7

Tom Brady50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0

Colleen Wolfe50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0

Brandon Sneide50 accuracy · 2 graded+50.0

Richard Sherman48 accuracy · 11 graded+47.6

Pat Gustavson40 accuracy · 5 graded+40.0

Gregg Rosenthal39 accuracy · 18 graded+38.9

Wade Phillips17 accuracy · 6 graded+33.3

Marty Mornhinweg17 accuracy · 6 graded+33.3

Dirk Koetter17 accuracy · 6 graded+33.3

Nick Wright29 accuracy · 9 graded+33.3

Rich Eisen25 accuracy · 37 graded+31.8

Colin Cowherd25 accuracy · 4 graded+25.0

Jourdan Rodrigue22 accuracy · 17 graded+22.2

Chris Brockman12 accuracy · 24 graded+14.6

Dave Wannstedt7 accuracy · 8 graded+14.3

Manti Te'o0 accuracy · 10 graded+0.0

Kyle Brandt0 accuracy · 9 graded+0.0

Jamie Erdahl0 accuracy · 9 graded+0.0

Mike Tannenbaum0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Chris Long0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Chuck Pagano0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Mike Martz0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Matt Cassel0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Marvin Lewis0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Joe Thomas0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Ronde Barber0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Robert Smith0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Rich Gannon0 accuracy · 6 graded+0.0

Mike Zimmer0 accuracy · 5 graded+0.0

Dan Patrick0 accuracy · 3 graded+0.0

Eric Mangini0 accuracy · 3 graded+0.0

John Middlekauff0 accuracy · 3 graded+0.0

Chris Broussard0 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0

Willie Colon0 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0

Mitchell Eisenstein0 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0

Cam Jordan0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Tom Pelissero0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Justin Penik0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Marvin Prince0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Todd Fritz0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Seton O'Connor0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Nick Wesseling0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Paul Pabst0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Danny Parkins0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Joe Johnson0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Kurt Warner0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Seth Rollins0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Matt Ioannidis0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Brandon Graham0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Tony Dungy0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

TJ Jefferson0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Ryan Reynolds0 accuracy · 1 graded+0.0

Jack McKessy0 accuracy · 7 graded-14.3

The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)

100.0 · 3 graded

John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)100.0 · 1 graded

Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)70.0 · 11 graded

The 33rd Team35.9 · 104 graded

Locked On Packers (podcast)50.0 · 2 graded

The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)40.3 · 39 graded

First Things First (podcast)33.3 · 9 graded

Overreaction Monday (podcast)21.3 · 47 graded

Move the Sticks (podcast)22.8 · 65 graded

The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)17.2 · 23 graded

Around the NFL (podcast)12.5 · 24 graded

The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)0.0 · 7 graded

Sharp Football Analysis0.0 · 3 graded

Pushing the Pile (podcast)0.0 · 1 graded

Fox Sports Radio (podcast)0.0 · 1 graded

The Draft Network0.0 · 7 graded

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Puka Nacua to win Offensive Player of the Year

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson, Rams WR Puka Nacua (2 each)

Puka NacuaLos Angeles Rams

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Lamar Jackson to win MVP

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, Bills QB Josh Allen (2 each)

Lamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

David Bailey to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

Jets EDGE David Bailey, Buccaneers EDGE Rueben Bain Jr. (5 votes each)

David BaileyNew York Jets

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Joe Burrow to win MVP

MVP Bengals QB Joe Burrow (5 votes)

Joe BurrowCincinnati Bengals

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Ja'Marr Chase to win Offensive Player of the Year

Offensive Player of the Year Bengals WR Ja'Marr Chase (5 votes)

Ja'Marr ChaseCincinnati Bengals

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year

Rams EDGE Myles Garrett, Steelers EDGE T.J. Watt (2 each)

Myles GarrettLos Angeles Rams

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Jahmyr Gibbs to win Offensive Player of the Year

Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs (4)

Jahmyr GibbsDetroit Lions

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Caleb Downs to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

Cowboys DB Caleb Downs (3)

Caleb DownsDallas Cowboys

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year

Defensive Player of the Year Texans EDGE Will Anderson Jr. (9 votes)

Will Anderson Jr.Houston Texans

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Bijan Robinson to win Offensive Player of the Year

Falcons RB Bijan Robinson, Rams WR Puka Nacua (2 each)

Bijan RobinsonAtlanta Falcons

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Josh Allen to win MVP

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, Bills QB Josh Allen (2 each)

Josh AllenBuffalo Bills

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Patrick Mahomes to win Comeback Player of the Year

Comeback Player of the Year Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (10 votes)

Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Rueben Bain to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

Jets EDGE David Bailey, Buccaneers EDGE Rueben Bain Jr. (5 votes each)

Rueben BainTampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingZachary PerelesAward Picks

Penei Sewell to win Protector of the Year

Protector of the Year Lions RT Penei Sewell (9 votes)

Penei SewellDetroit Lions

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingJordan DajaniAward Picks

Caleb Downs to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

That defense should be improved this year with the additions of future Defensive Rookie of the Year Caleb Downs

Caleb DownsDallas Cowboys

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingCaleb SkinnerAward Picks

Jalen McMillan to win Team Breakout Player of the Year

Breakout Player of the Year: WR Jalen McMillan

Jalen McMillanTampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026

PendingCaleb SkinnerAward Picks

Calijah Kancey to win Team Comeback Player of the Year

Comeback Player of the Year: DT Calijah Kancey

Calijah KanceyTampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026

PendingCaleb SkinnerAward Picks

Rueben Bain to win Team Rookie of the Year

Rookie of the Year: OLB Rueben Bain Jr. ... Bain will separate himself as the rookie of the year for the Bucs.

Rueben BainTampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026

PendingCaleb SkinnerAward Picks

Zyon McCollum to win Team Most Improved Player

Most Improved Player: CB Zyon McCollum ... He will do that in 2026, giving him the best chance to come away as the most improved player for the team.

Zyon McCollumTampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026

PendingCaleb SkinnerAward Picks

Antoine Winfield Jr. to win Team Defensive Player of the Year

Defensive Player of the Year: S Antoine Winfield Jr.

Antoine Winfield Jr.Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026

PendingCaleb SkinnerAward Picks

Emeka Egbuka to win Team Offensive Player of the Year

Offensive Player of the Year: WR Emeka Egbuka

Emeka EgbukaTampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026

PendingCaleb SkinnerAward Picks

Baker Mayfield to win Team Most Valuable Player

Most Valuable Player: QB Baker Mayfield ... Mayfield will be the MVP of the team in 2026 without a doubt.

Baker MayfieldTampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026

PendingJohn MiddlekauffAward Picks

Jadarian Price to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

And offensive rookie of the year... So I like Price... Price is my offensive and defensive rookie of the year.

Jadarian PriceSeattle Seahawks

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingJohn MiddlekauffAward Picks

Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year

But I'm taking Will Anderson... I think defensive player of the year.

Will Anderson Jr.Houston Texans

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingJohn MiddlekauffAward Picks

Jared Goff to win MVP

I think Jared Goff wins it. I'm going Jared Goff, MVP

Jared GoffDetroit Lions

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

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