NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,912
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 362
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,912
takes graded
5,031 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills301 takes
- New England Patriots291 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Arizona Cardinals162 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
1401–1425 of 3,881
I mean, Mahomes doesn't lose to Lamar... I believe the Chiefs are better than Baltimore... I'll take the Chiefs here.
Buffalo can dominate this game and should dominate this game
But this is the one that we're going with. I don't see green Bay losing that game.
I like the Falcons, but I like them Milani.
I'm gonna take the Raiders to win it. Twenty seven to twenty three.
I think we get points in this game. Twenty six twenty three New England wins take the over.
Do you have a sense? ... Do you I trust him on the road versus the Raiders. I know you don't, but I you know.
They beat the Colts thirty four to twenty four.
But I think Minnesota twenty seven to twenty covers here, better staff, better offense, better defense. I a better road team. I'm gonna take Minnesota.
Bo Nicks, by the way, not great in September last year, finally Clicks thirty twenty. They cover the spread. Take the Denver Broncos
And that's what the Jaguars have looked like to my eye, Like they kind of look like a sixth seed to me.
I actually think what Hyfez did is rational. I would pick the Chargers in this one too.
I don't think in a game where everyone's going to Europe, Carson Wentz is going to move the ball on the Steelers defense consistently... in the fourth quarter, in that moment, as long as the one score game, I just think that's the great
I'm taking the Bears plus one against the Raiders... I do think what I saw last week against Dallas is replicable against Vegas.
This is really boring, but I'm doing the Chargers giving six and a half to the Giants.
I wanted to pick the Vikings in this one... ultimately I think the Vikings defense is gonna be the difference.
I like the Jags plus three and a half. Yeah, in San Francisco. I actually kind of liked them to go and just win this game straight up.
me and Cynthia and her computer model are agreeing... these are our favorite confidence picks of the week, which is Packers minus seven.
which is Packers minus seven... I'm really I'm really big on the Packers.
But if I had to pick, I'm on the Giants because week one, You're right, but Russell Wilson would have been starting
I'm actually anti Steelers this week, at least in terms of picking the Vikings.
So Cynthia's third pick, by the way, the Washington Commanders... She has them as a road favorite in Atlanta.
I am taking the quarter black and uh in Philadelphia to beat the quarter white and and Tampa Bay.
I'll take the cow Boys plus seven please
I'm gonna take take the Rams minus three and a half.