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97.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Around the NFL (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 5 of 9 articles (1 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 64.5 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
576–600 of 1,091
726 / 1,091
graded
365 still pending
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Seattle Seahawks to beat Buccaneers
I'm actually with you on this one... I feel very confident that Seattle win.
Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
I'm going to start with the Bills... They're playing the Patriots at home... So I have the Bills by at least eight.
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Broncos
I think I have the Eagles by one point. That's where the model I set it out
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Washington
even though I have the Chargers winning, I want to take Washington with the field goal of points... I do have the Chargers winning, but it's very close
Indianapolis Colts to beat Raiders
My second pick is the Colts to win by six and a half. More than six and a half. Okay, they're playing the Raiders, they're at home.
Denver Broncos to beat expectations
And you look for surprise teams when you look for, oh, who could have a longer playoff run than you expect? ... You look to line play right now, Broncos still have one of the best offensive lines in the entire league.
Buffalo Bills to beat Patriots
I think the Patriots are going to give up a ton of points and the defense is going to be a problem. And the Bills win.
I've divided the entire league into different groups... dead last in the NFL, I would put the Titans that's thirty two. Saints would be next, Dolphins at thirty... the Carolina Panthers... The Jets above them... The Raider, the Giants, and then at the very top of this list, the Browns... this is the number twenty one team overall, the Bears. Then the Bengals have the Patriots at twenty three and the Cowboys at twenty four... I'm putting the Vikings at the top of that list. The Jaguars are next... Stealers. Below them right in the middle of the NFL at sixteen, The Broncos at seventeen... The Texans... The Cardinals and the Falcons... number ten... The Seahawks... The Colts at eleven... The Commander's at twelve and then the forty nine ers... I'm putting the Packers... number one, the Lions and Eagles right behind them... So they're there at four, Bills at five, Ravens at six, and then the Rams, the Bucks, and... the Kansas City Chiefs
They still have Matt Lafleur, a quarterback I believe in, and what I think is going to be the best defense in the league.
New York Jets to beat Miami
Again, she has the Jets and the Packers Jets plus two and a half.
Washington Commanders to beat Atlanta
So Cynthia's third pick, by the way, the Washington Commanders... She has them as a road favorite in Atlanta.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Giants
I actually think what Hyfez did is rational. I would pick the Chargers in this one too.
Chicago Bears to beat Raiders
I'm taking the Bears plus one against the Raiders... I do think what I saw last week against Dallas is replicable against Vegas.
Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
me and Cynthia and her computer model are agreeing... these are our favorite confidence picks of the week, which is Packers minus seven.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Vikings
I don't think in a game where everyone's going to Europe, Carson Wentz is going to move the ball on the Steelers defense consistently... in the fourth quarter, in that moment, as long as the one score game, I just think that's the great
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Giants
This is really boring, but I'm doing the Chargers giving six and a half to the Giants.
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
We are both on the Jets plus two and a half in Miami... I just think this is the Jets chance to go win a game... I'm going Jets.
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
And that's what the Jaguars have looked like to my eye, Like they kind of look like a sixth seed to me.
Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers
I wanted to pick the Vikings in this one... ultimately I think the Vikings defense is gonna be the difference.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat San Francisco
I like the Jags plus three and a half. Yeah, in San Francisco. I actually kind of liked them to go and just win this game straight up.
New York Giants to beat Chargers
But if I had to pick, I'm on the Giants because week one, You're right, but Russell Wilson would have been starting
Green Bay Packers to beat Cowboys
which is Packers minus seven... I'm really I'm really big on the Packers.
Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers
I'm actually anti Steelers this week, at least in terms of picking the Vikings.
Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed
I think they could be the seven seed, for instance in the AFC.
Baltimore Ravens 41 — Lions 31
I love points. I think it's like forty one to thirty one.