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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
934
Graded
269

29% settled

Average accuracy
49.2

out of 100

Pundits
139

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
86 scored 80+91 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 934

graded

665 still pending

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

676–700 of 934

  • Close · 40Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins

    I went through the schedule and it looks like eight and nine, nine and eight to me

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+50 skillsaid Sep 6, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Josh PateSeason Win Totals

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 8 wins

    if you're telling me that you want him to be more than a seven or eight win per year on average guy, which is Carolina football historically

    Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Sep 6, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins

    The Jaguars are a team I think is going to be great this year in terms of versus like their win total for instance, I really like they're over seven and a half.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 5, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Seattle Seahawks to finish with 9 wins

    I think Seahawks could win nine games.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 5-10 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins

    Yeah, I got him at ten wins.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 9 wins

    I think the Niners could win nine and Seahawks win the tiebreaker.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+70 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Tennessee Titans to finish with 5 wins

    the Titans of five and twelve

    Tennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 7 wins

    Broncos at seven and ten

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 5-10 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Indianapolis Colts to finish with 4 wins

    the Colts at four and thirteen

    Indianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 95-150 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins

    The Texans go ten and seven

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins

    the Patriots at ten and seven they get the final wild card spots

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 13 wins

    Or the Cincinnati Bengals thirteen and four

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 45-90 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 6 wins

    Raiders at six at eleven

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35+10 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    New York Jets to finish with 6 wins

    Jets at six and eleven

    New York Jets

    a naive guess scored 25+30 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 10 wins

    I've got the Chargers going ten and seven. They do make it in as the sixth seed

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75+10 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Miami Dolphins to finish with 7 wins

    Dolphins at seven and ten

    Miami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins

    the Jaguars go ten and seven

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+80 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 14 wins

    at fourteen and three out of the Kansasity Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins

    Brown's at five and twelve, which I think hits

    Cleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins

    Mind you, Pittsburgh Steelers, they go nine and seven... I don't know how the hell I said Pittsburgh. What I say nine ten and seven... But at ten and seven, I look at that

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins

    Bills leading the way at twelve and five

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins

    beating out Baltimore at twelve and five

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 55-70 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 5 wins

    Carolina five and twelve

    Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 75-70 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 7 wins

    the Giants at seven and ten

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65-50 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Brady QuinnSeason Win Totals

    Atlanta Falcons to finish with 10 wins

    Atlanta. They finished second at ten and seven. They do get a wildcard spot

    Atlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 95-70 skillsaid Sep 4, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (292 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.