NFL
Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, or dig into any single take below.
- Takes logged
- 8,877
- Graded
- 3,881
- Pundits
- 355
- Average accuracy
- 52.5
out of 100
- By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
- By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.
Seasons in review
How NFL calls land
Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
3,881 / 8,877
takes graded
4,996 awaiting a result
The middle ground
The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.
Takes in each band
1,344 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.
This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (914), season win totals (151) and positional finishes (130) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.
Most-discussed players
All players →The people pundits predict most.
- Fernando MendozaQB70 takes
- Cam WardQB57 takes
- Tetairoa McMillanWR54 takes
- Ashton JeantyRB52 takes
- Shedeur SandersQB51 takes
- Travis HunterCB47 takes
- Jeremiyah LoveRB45 takes
- Ty SimpsonQB43 takes
Most-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs pundits predict most.
- Philadelphia Eagles373 takes
- Kansas City Chiefs352 takes
- Los Angeles Rams302 takes
- Buffalo Bills297 takes
- New England Patriots290 takes
- Baltimore Ravens284 takes
- Miami Dolphins281 takes
- Las Vegas Raiders263 takes
Least-discussed teams
All teams →The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.
- Atlanta Falcons143 takes
- Arizona Cardinals156 takes
- New Orleans Saints156 takes
- Carolina Panthers162 takes
- Cincinnati Bengals170 takes
- New York Jets170 takes
- Indianapolis Colts171 takes
- Minnesota Vikings180 takes
By kind of prediction
How each is graded →Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.
The draft1,575 graded
- Team Draft Slot Calls75.6 · 22 graded
- Position Order Calls74.3 · 67 graded
- Mock Draft Picks54.5 · 1477 graded
- Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded
- Prospect vs Prospect Calls40.0 · 7 graded
The season race708 graded
- Playoff Picks55.8 · 380 graded
- Season Win Totals51.2 · 230 graded
- Super Bowl Picks28.9 · 98 graded
Single games547 graded
- Score Predictions61.3 · 92 graded
- Game Outcome Picks56.8 · 455 graded
Players and rosters697 graded
- Depth Chart Calls93.0 · 310 graded
- Player Season Numbers35.9 · 145 graded
- Positional Finishes31.3 · 242 graded
Awards and honors321 graded
- Award Picks18.9 · 254 graded
- Coach Award Picks11.3 · 53 graded
- Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 14 graded
Rankings and lists223 graded
- Power Rankings66.5 · 106 graded
- Top Player Lists54.9 · 96 graded
- Position Group Rankings50.9 · 15 graded
- Head Coach Rankings44.5 · 6 graded
Fantasy football68 graded
- Fantasy Bust Calls66.7 · 3 graded
- Fantasy Rankings65.8 · 53 graded
- Sleeper Calls50.0 · 12 graded
Who is beating the baseline
Full leaderboard →Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.
- James Harrison3 articles+106.7
- Simon Hunter5 articles+75.7
- Dave Wannstedt3 articles+65.8
- Joel Klatt3 articles+63.6
- Lance Zierlein6 articles+53.2
- Cody Kessler4 articles+48.9
- Tom Strachan3 articles+41.6
- Dan Pizzuta8 articles+38.0
Every NFL take
2376–2400 of 3,881
it wouldn't shock me at all if he goes and has like a first team All Pro type of season this year
I'm gonna take another number two. I'm gonna take t Higgins here at this point
I think he's gonna be all right, and I honestly think there's a good chance. That they might repeat. But being at the commanders have gotten better, being that Dallas has gotten better
I would give Hurts probably the slight edge... But for right now, I think that's there's no problem putting Hurts five.
going back to Caleb Johnson, he shouldn't be in this tier. He is the clear guy
I could see a real path to like twelve hundred yards and twelve touchdowns this season
he was amazing last year and if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns, He's getting fifteen hundred rushing yards in a healthy season
if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns
I think Tony Pollard is still going to be the quick, clear, workhorse, sixty to sixty five percent snap guy. He's gonna get the red zone touches
If Brian Robinson is the lead back in this offense, like I could see a real path to like twelve hundred yards and twelve touchdowns this season
My Lock. In every single fifth round, Richard Smith is my RB fifty
I think Joe Flackham needs to start the season, regardless that if there's a quarterback competition or not, Joe needs to play as long as he can
It's hard for me to see a scenario in which Dylan Gabriel or should door beats flack go out and like, Okay, yeah, this is the direction that we're going in to start the season.
So I do think fifteen hundred yards might be possible, but be very doable... I think fifteen hundred yards is realistic.
I say ten twelve touchdowns, but twenty, man, bro, that's a lot of tubs
Joe Burrow, Okay, Mark, Josh Allen, Jamen who Jayna Hurts? ... Jared Golf ... Patrick Mahomes ... c. J Stroud, Jay Daniels, jayde and Daniels. That's ten. Jordan Love ... Matthew Stafford here ... That's twelve guys right there.
my number one pick is Andy Reid still... my number three is Dan Campbell... I am going to choose Kyle Shanahan... I'm going Sean Payton... I'm gonna go with Demico Ryans... Give me Jim Harbaugh... I'm a big believer in Pete Carroll... I'm going to take Nick Sirianni here... I'm gonna go Mike McDaniel... I'm gonna go with Mike McDonald... I'm going to pick Jonathan Gannon here... I'm gonna go with Dave Canalis here... I'm gonna go with Brian day Ball here
I'm going to go with my pick number two... I am going to go with Sean McVeigh... I'm going KOC next... I'm actually gonna take John Harbaugh... I'm going Matt Lafluir now... I'll go Mike Tomlin... I don't think Sean McDermot should slip any further... I am I'm gonna go with dan Quinn... I'm gonna take Kevin Stefanski here... I will go with the Patriots head coach here, Mike Rabel... Todd Bowles, who is my pick... I'm gonna go with his old buddy, Shane steichen... I'm going to take Zach Taylor now... I actually had him twenty six (Raheem Morris)... Last up is Brian Gallahan
So yes, I do think Bowers is a clear tier above anyone else at tight end.
I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]
I think that he could score fifteen touchdowns attached to Michael Pennock.
I have him at seven overall Welsh... twelfth overall [Bowers]... I think I've got him fifteenth overall [London]... Fits you've got him at twenty six [Evans]... I've got him at thirty thirty four [Wilson]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... you've got him at fifty [Aaron Jones]... Worthy I have at fifty five... I've gone him at fifty eight overall [Rice]
I love taking him in the second round... and I love getting the discount. Round two
False because he finishes a top three running back.
McCaffrey is not a risk worth taking because when your shark, your emphasis in the first two rounds should be on avoiding the bear traps