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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
2,761
Graded
308

11% settled

Average accuracy
52.6

out of 100

Pundits
181

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
162 scored 80+146 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

308 / 2,761

graded

2,453 still pending

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

501–525 of 2,761

  • PendingEllis Bryn JohnsonSleeper Calls

    Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (ADP of WR30)

    Personally, that is my fear with Washington's ADP of WR30. ... He is an excellent shot if you have waited to fill your WR3.

    Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingEllis Bryn JohnsonSleeper Calls

    De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost

    The winner of the preseason hype award has to be De'Zhaun Stribling. ... here are five players who are worth the hype.

    De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingEllis Bryn JohnsonSleeper Calls

    K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost

    Concepcion should be shooting up draft boards.

    K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingEllis Bryn JohnsonSleeper Calls

    Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (going as the RB25)

    Even with all of this, he is going as the RB25. ... Considering he is still going outside RB2 territory, I don't want to leave a draft without him this season.

    Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingEllis Bryn JohnsonSleeper Calls

    Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost

    Colston Loveland is the recipient of the offseason hype award. ... we could be witnessing the creation of the next elite fantasy tight end.

    Colston LovelandChicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls

    Jaylin Noel to outplay his draft cost

    Every season a player comes out of nowhere to absolutely annihilate their average draft position (ADP). Could that be Noel?

    Jaylin NoelHouston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost

    Coker is a late-round priority for me this season. The massive divide between McMillan and Coker in ADP should not exist. Enjoy the value.

    Jalen CokerCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026the article →
  • PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls

    Evan McPherson to outplay his draft cost (currently going as the K11)

    McPherson is currently going as the K11, but with the upside of the Bengals' schedule and how good of a position they're in, he might be too good of a value pick to pass up.

    Evan McPhersonCincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls

    Brandon Aubrey to outplay his draft cost

    Brandon Aubrey has arguably the strongest leg in the NFL, and he's on one of the most high-powered offenses. ... Below are three kickers to target this season.

    Brandon AubreyDallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls

    Ka'imi Fairbairn to outplay his draft cost

    Fairbairn will have another great season for the Texans thanks to their defense and a middling offense that struggles to complete drives.

    Ka'imi FairbairnHouston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 3, 2026
  • PendingJoe MarinoSleeper Calls

    Deone Walker to outplay his draft cost

    I've always said that I'm rooting for Dion Walker to be awesome, and it looks like he's on his way to being awesome. So my pick for breakout guy is Dion Walker.

    Deone WalkerBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingAnthony ProhaskaSleeper Calls

    Dee Alford to outplay his draft cost

    I picked a player. I went with Dee Alford... I think he's an under the radar guy because I think he's gonna end up mattering more to this defense

    Dee AlfordBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingAnthony ProhaskaSleeper Calls

    C.J. Gardner-Johnson to outplay his draft cost

    I went with Chauncey Gardner Johnson... So he's my breakout guy.

    C.J. Gardner-JohnsonBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingAnthony ProhaskaSleeper Calls

    Christian Benford to outplay his draft cost

    I went with Christian Benford for this one... I think Benford is a real opportunity to change the math for the Bills defense this year

    Christian BenfordBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingAnthony ProhaskaSleeper Calls

    Michael Hoecht to outplay his draft cost

    But I'm gonna go with Michael Hoyt... he was a strong one b to the one up to the Ed Oliver here in the one a for me.

    Michael HoechtBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingJoe MarinoSleeper Calls

    Ed Oliver to outplay his draft cost

    I think Ed Oliver is gonna eat in this defense and, stay healthy... So my comeback hit at Oliver.

    Ed OliverBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls

    Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost

    “they will be let down as Justin Herbert will spread the ball and Quentin Johnstone has a breakout year.”

    Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingDan BeyerSleeper Calls

    Rome Odunze to outplay his draft cost

    I had the opportunity to draft both Roma Dunze or Luther Burden... I think people are sleeping on Roma Dunze.

    Rome OdunzeChicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost

    followed by Jalen Waddell, who I think could greatly outperform. Once upon a time, a 100-catch guy

    Jaylen WaddleDenver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls

    Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (eighth-to-ninth-round)

    First, he is an eighth-to-ninth-round running back, so you can get him cheap... Jonathon Brooks legitimately has the potential to be a three-down back in a run-focused offense come Week 1.

    Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls

    Tee Higgins to outplay his draft cost (drafted like a late value WR2)

    Higgins is undoubtedly a WR1 being drafted like a late value WR2.

    Tee HigginsCincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls

    David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (the middle rounds)

    At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.

    David MontgomeryHouston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls

    Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (1.03)

    I'm not passing on a player with this much league-winning upside because I am scared of what might happen. McCaffrey should be the 1.03, only behind Gibbs and Bijan.

    Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls

    Malik Nabers to outplay his draft cost (the third and sometimes fourth round; outside the top-10 wide receivers)

    Not only does he bring league-winning potential, but you can get him at a discount with a very favorable playoff schedule.

    Malik NabersNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026
  • PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls

    De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (a very late-round wide receiver dart throw)

    as a very late-round wide receiver dart throw, he makes sense as a potential league winner with the opportunity to significantly outperform his ADP

    De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 2, 2026

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (331 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.