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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
2,727
Graded
308

11% settled

Average accuracy
52.6

out of 100

Pundits
181

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
162 scored 80+146 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

308 / 2,727

graded

2,419 still pending

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

151–175 of 2,727

  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    Bo Nix to outplay his draft cost

    He could easily be a QB1 this week against a pass defense that allowed the 13th-highest passer rating last year

    Bo NixDenver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost

    Dallas should be viewed at least as a league-average matchup for Dart, with the upside to be a very good one.

    Jaxson DartNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost

    Mayfield should have a strong Week 1 performance... In a contract year, I'm expecting a big bounce-back season from Mayfield if he can stay healthy all season

    Baker MayfieldTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost

    Willis' rushing ability gives him an incredibly high ceiling and floor for Week 1.

    Malik WillisMiami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls

    Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost

    I think Goff will get it done in Week 1.

    Jared GoffDetroit Lions

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 12, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Bryce Young to outplay his draft cost

    And for Bryce Young, he'll shut people up at least for one week in terms of having himself a big opportunity.

    Bryce Young

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Travis Etienne to outplay his draft cost

    I'm looking for for Etienne to be very active as a pass catcher out of the backfield.

    Travis Etienne

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Chris Rodriguez Jr. to outplay his draft cost

    How about Chris Rodriguez Jr. going up against the Cleveland Browns... So opportunity here knocks against the Browns.

    Chris Rodriguez Jr.

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost

    Alright, how about Baker Mayfield? He no longer has the chip on his shoulder, but he's got the opportunity.

    Baker Mayfield

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost

    the obligatory nod to the greatest offense there is in Dak Prescott, getting it done early and often. He's owned the Giants throughout his career.

    Dak Prescott

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost

    Caleb Douglas, why? Because we've got to get a rookie in.

    Caleb Douglas

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Tyler Murray to outplay his draft cost

    Tyler Murray going up against Green Bay. We talked about that earlier.

    Tyler Murray

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost

    Wanda Robinson, one of my favorite guys the last couple of years, PPR machine... So we get him in looking at a ton of opportunities

    Wan'Dale Robinson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Dontayvion Wicks to outplay his draft cost

    What about that Dontavian Wicks going up against Washington?

    Dontayvion Wicks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost

    Ted McMillan, no question about it. Get him on, get him over, get him in, because that back seven for the Bears, struggling.

    Tetairoa McMillan

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost

    Go back to the running back position, Javante Williams. He's the established and right now running unopposed.

    Javonte Williams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Jalen Nailor to outplay his draft cost

    How about Naylor going up against Miami? Opportunity here with no Brock Bowers, distribution of pass attempts to roll around for Captain Kirk.

    Jalen Nailor

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Devaughn Vele to outplay his draft cost

    How about Devon Vele going up against the Detroit Lions? We watched him start to break out a little bit last year

    Devaughn Vele

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost

    Trevor Lawrence going up against the Cleveland Browns... looking for him this Spread the ball around

    Trevor Lawrence

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Jameson Williams to outplay his draft cost

    Jameson Williams, and then the aforementioned, going back to that Carolina game

    Jameson Williams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Tony Pollard to outplay his draft cost

    Tony Pollard going up against the Jets... Back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, though. So let's plot along a little bit

    Tony Pollard

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost

    DeAndre Swift going up against Carolina. He's the number one guy.

    D'Andre Swift

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Mike Washington to outplay his draft cost

    Mike Washington, Jr., going up against Miami... Washington, the guy who really shown out a bunch in the preseason.

    Mike Washington

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost

    David Montgomery going up against Buffalo. Look, I'm looking for some short yardage

    David Montgomery

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingMike HarmonSleeper Calls

    Caleb Williams to outplay his draft cost

    Caleb Williams is going to keep winging the ball down the field, which means more level and more opportunity and big-time points.

    Caleb Williams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 11, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (331 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.