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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
939
Graded
269

29% settled

Average accuracy
49.2

out of 100

Pundits
139

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
86 scored 80+91 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 939

graded

670 still pending

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

801–825 of 939

  • Hit · 80John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins

    the Lions. Now, I think have established themselves. What happens in the playoffs, who knows, but they're going to be a double digit win team.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 45+70 skillsaid Aug 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins

    I think the Bears have an opportunity to win ten or eleven games. I don't think it's as good a division as people think.

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+130 skillsaid Aug 1, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 11 wins

    I think the Bronx is gonna be pretty good. And if he's good and you have an elite defense, they're gonna win eleven twelve games.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 5+70 skillsaid Jul 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Rich DavisSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins

    But I mean, let's say I would be already established Steelers are a nine to ten win team easily.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Jul 31, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Baltimore Ravens to finish with 10 wins

    then Ravens under eleven and a half... I think that they can be a ten win team

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 55+10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins

    the Raiders go over on six and a half

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35-30 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 7 wins

    that's an under... For them at nine and a half... win seven eight games

    Minnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 55+10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • PendingDanny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins

    This is an over for the Chargers.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Rams to finish with 11 wins

    The Rams have won over ten games in six of the eight years with Sean McVay... I just can't quit the Rams

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 45+70 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 13 wins

    They're a thirteen win team until proven otherwise.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 12 wins

    The Eagles aren't over team. They're totals at eleven and a half

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 95-30 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins

    I'm definitely picking them for over at ten and a half... That's still an eleven or twelve win team.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins

    Over at nine and a half

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Green Bay Packers to finish with 8 wins

    The Packers are under at nine and a half... I think it's more like an eight win season for the Packers.

    Green Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 10 wins

    Bengals are double did you win team.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 45-50 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Tennessee Titans to finish with 6 wins

    I think they hit their over on five and a half wins... I think they can eke out six wins.

    Tennessee Titans

    a naive guess scored 45-10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins

    the Falcons get over on seven and a half wins

    Atlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 95+10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins

    Bills are a clear overteam at eleven and a half.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 6 wins

    The Giants are an over team for me at five and a half

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65-10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins

    They're a nine or a ten win team this season.

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+90 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins

    I think the Falcons are an overteam, same with the Panthers... They can win seven games.

    Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 75+10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins

    Mike Tomlin's gonna get you to over eight and a half

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 8 wins

    it's going to be even more exciting when Herbert goes eight and nine and you're like, but actually he throws such a tight spiral

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75-70 skillsaid Jul 29, 2025the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with ? wins

    Wouldn't shock me if they're just competitive, probably not a playoff team, But like I could see them in the mix to be like eight nine wins.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 27, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Aaron SchatzSeason Win Totals

    Washington Commanders to finish with 10.6 wins

    You have the Commanders at ten point six wins. That's about a win ahead of the Eagles.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (292 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.