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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
939
Graded
269

29% settled

Average accuracy
49.2

out of 100

Pundits
139

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
86 scored 80+91 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 939

graded

670 still pending

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

826–850 of 939

  • Close · 50Aaron SchatzSeason Win Totals

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 5.5 wins

    the Panthers are dead last, like five and a half wins, under ten percent chance to make the playoffs

    Carolina Panthers

    a naive guess scored 75-50 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 84Aaron SchatzSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11.2 wins

    You have the forty nine Ers at projected for eleven point two wins, which is the most in the NFC, it's the third most in the NFL.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+158 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Aaron SchatzSeason Win Totals

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 9 wins

    you have the Jaguars at nine wins. You have them at a fifty four point seven percent chance to make the playoffs.

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 86Aaron SchatzSeason Win Totals

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 7.7 wins

    You have both the Steelers and the Cowboys as losing teams projected for seven point seven wins each.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 85+2 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Aaron SchatzSeason Win Totals

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 8.3 wins

    we've got the Raiders with your projections getting eight point three wins... thirty eight point six percent chance of making the playoffs

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35-70 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • Close · 54Aaron SchatzSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 7.7 wins

    You have both the Steelers and the Cowboys as losing teams projected for seven point seven wins each.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85-62 skillsaid Jul 25, 2025the article →
  • PendingJahleel AddaeSeason Win Totals

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with ? wins

    But right now I see them going over five hundred. Don't see them win in the division.

    Dallas Cowboys

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 22, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Cynthia FrelundSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins

    I had the forty nine ers with at least double digit wins, probably eleven. That's the number.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+150 skillsaid Jul 22, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 13 wins

    There's a path to 13 wins for the buck. That's all I'm saying.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75-150 skillsaid Jul 21, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Seth RollinsSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins

    We know this Steelers team finishes at 500 or better every year no matter what... So I think you add in a few extra wins to that

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • PendingChad Ochocinco JohnsonSeason Win Totals

    Cincinnati Bengals to finish with ? wins

    we're gonna beat them again, and we're gonna start the season five. And oh... this is the year we started now five and oh

    Cincinnati Bengals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 16, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins

    The Bears should win ten games.

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+130 skillsaid Jul 15, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins

    if you have a dominant defense with an offensive coach who's proven, like, how are your floor is so high? I mean, your floor is immediately like ten wins.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 5+30 skillsaid Jun 30, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 9 wins

    They have no excuse to not win. I think at minimum nine games... anything other than nine wins if you're the forty nine ers based on this schedule... would be viewed as a disaster.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 5+70 skillsaid Jun 30, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Rich EisenSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 15 wins

    Well, behind the fifteen and two Chiefs... I gave the Chiefs two losses.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jun 26, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Indianapolis Colts to finish with 9 wins

    Again, they're just looking nine to ten wins. I'm not talking twelve thirteen.

    Indianapolis Colts

    a naive guess scored 95-30 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 3 wins

    Again, I was gonna say three to fourteen is not off the radar.

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65+30 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 4 wins

    This is a this tough schedule. Colling Thiss got four or five wins written all over it.

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65+70 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins

    I think they're an eleven twelve win team.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8 wins

    I don't think they're going to be a six win team, but I think eight is probably the number. Mike Tomlin finally losing record.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85-50 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Season Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 10 wins

    Allen Dallas has the Giants cruising on a five game win streak... Ten and seven.

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65-130 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025
  • Miss · 0Rich EisenSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 15 wins

    When I impromptu did the win loss game for the Kansas City Chiefs. I had them go fifteen and two matching last year's record.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jun 24, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 5 wins

    But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65+30 skillsaid Jun 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    Washington Commanders to finish with 9 wins

    I think they're gonna come back down to earth a little bit, maybe go nine and eight, ultimately miss the playoffs.

    Washington Commanders

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Jun 23, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Rich EisenSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins

    And the Steelers, sir, as you know, book them for ten and seven. You know what I mean? Maybe eleven and six.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Jun 23, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (292 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.