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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
934
Graded
269

29% settled

Average accuracy
49.2

out of 100

Pundits
139

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
86 scored 80+91 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 934

graded

665 still pending

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

776–800 of 934

  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins

    I feel like the Bills are a twelve and five team. I don't think they're getting to thirteen wins.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Aug 27, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins

    I don't think they're a dominant team... but I think they can get to ten wins.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Aug 27, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 7 wins

    I think it is more than on the board that this team goes seven and ten. They are more likely to go seven and ten than ten and seven.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 5-10 skillsaid Aug 27, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 9 wins

    I think they probably go nine and eight and just miss out on the playoffs.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Aug 27, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 13 wins

    Twelve and five would disappoint me. I expect thirteen and four or better.

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 27, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins

    the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire their head coach.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 45-10 skillsaid Aug 27, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Miami Dolphins to finish with 7 wins

    I will say it's a seven and ten Dolphins year, and I will go slightly under.

    Miami Dolphins

    a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Aug 27, 2025the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with ? wins

    Why couldn't they go nine to eight this year?... I could see the Patriots winning eight or nine games.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Tennessee Titans to finish with ? wins

    The over under on Tennessee and you know it's five and a half. Some have had it at six and a half. I think they clear that bar easily... I think I'm going to take the Titans over.

    Tennessee Titans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins

    I mean, they're over under right now is nine and a half. I think they are a lock.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • PendingColin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with ? wins

    So New England was one of my overs... This is an eight to nine win team.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with ? wins

    so I think the Niners probably more likely to win nine or ten games

    San Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Miami Dolphins to finish with ? wins

    It would not shock me to see them struggle to win four or five games. I think they're going to be terrible.

    Miami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins

    if you have a dominant defense with an offensive coach who's proven, like, how are your floor is so high? I mean your floor is immediately like ten wins.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 5+30 skillsaid Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins

    Eight nine, seven, ten? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, six and eleven, seven and ten. Six and eleven.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85-130 skillsaid Aug 25, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins

    could I see the Lions going from fifteen to two and the one seed to ten and seven in a wild card? Absolutely?

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 45+70 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins

    that team absolutely can get to nine or ten wins and sneak into the playoffs

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35-70 skillsaid Aug 23, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 14 wins

    I think there's a fifty to fifty chance there the number one see, I expect them to win fourteen plus games.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Aug 20, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins

    Gonna be better. Patriots are gonna be terrible. Probably ten and seven.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Aug 13, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Jason McIntyreSeason Win Totals

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins

    it seems like maybe I overreacted this summer on the Vikings and they profiled more like a nine ish win team, yes, as opposed to eleven.

    Minnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 55+90 skillsaid Aug 5, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Colin CowherdSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 10 wins

    I think the Bears have an opportunity to win ten or eleven games. I don't think it's as good a division as people think.

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+130 skillsaid Aug 1, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins

    the Lions. Now, I think have established themselves. What happens in the playoffs, who knows, but they're going to be a double digit win team.

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 45+70 skillsaid Aug 1, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40John MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

    Denver Broncos to finish with 11 wins

    I think the Bronx is gonna be pretty good. And if he's good and you have an elite defense, they're gonna win eleven twelve games.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 5+70 skillsaid Jul 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Rich DavisSeason Win Totals

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins

    But I mean, let's say I would be already established Steelers are a nine to ten win team easily.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Jul 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Danny ParkinsSeason Win Totals

    Los Angeles Rams to finish with 11 wins

    The Rams have won over ten games in six of the eight years with Sean McVay... I just can't quit the Rams

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 45+70 skillsaid Jul 30, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (292 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.