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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
934
Graded
269

29% settled

Average accuracy
49.2

out of 100

Pundits
139

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
86 scored 80+91 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 934

graded

665 still pending

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

726–750 of 934

  • Miss · 0Dylan O'BrienSeason Win Totals

    New York Jets to finish with 11 wins

    Eleven and six since Dylan O'Brien.

    New York Jets

    a naive guess scored 25-50 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    Patriots second. Love the vibes there. Nine wins are real possibility

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0TJ JeffersonSeason Win Totals

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins

    I might bump it up to twelve... and TJ's now twelve and five.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 85-170 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins

    Although I could see them both kinda going eight and nine. Eight and nine.

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+50 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Rich EisenSeason Win Totals

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 10 wins

    you can have a team that has double digit wins in third place, and that's where I'm putting the Vikings

    Minnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 55+50 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Chris BrockmanSeason Win Totals

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins

    Although I could see them both kinda going eight and nine. Eight and nine.

    Minnesota Vikings

    a naive guess scored 55+50 skillsaid Sep 3, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    Dallas Cowboys to finish with 8 wins

    I unfortunately drafted them as like one of my you know, top over underpicks with Nick Wright, to go over seven and a half. I just thought, and I still think, like it's possible.

    Dallas Cowboys

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Sep 2, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Gregg RosenthalSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 6 wins

    as long as he has some promise, they could win six games and be happy this year

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65-10 skillsaid Sep 2, 2025the article →
  • Close · 40Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins

    to me, the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire their head coach.

    Cincinnati Bengals

    a naive guess scored 45-10 skillsaid Aug 31, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins

    The Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs at least ten games, I should say.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Aug 31, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins

    And the numbers four and a half, I've got to go over four and a half, and so I will go over four and a half

    Cleveland Browns

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Aug 31, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins

    So Ravens demonse over under eleven and a half juice slightly to the over... So because of that, I'm an over.

    Baltimore Ravens

    a naive guess scored 55-70 skillsaid Aug 31, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Chicago Bears to finish with 9 wins

    So I will take and I will bet the Bears over eight and a half

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 15+90 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins

    the Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs, at least ten games

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins

    For the overs, We've got Jags at seven and a half at minus one twenty five

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 80Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins

    I am going to go under on the Panthers and over on the Saints

    New Orleans Saints

    a naive guess scored 85-10 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 20Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins

    Vegas six and a half at minus one hundred and forty five

    Las Vegas Raiders

    a naive guess scored 35-30 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins

    Kansas City over eleven and a half at plus one hundred

    Kansas City Chiefs

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Green Bay Packers to finish with 9 wins

    I just think they're gonna win nine games

    Green Bay Packers

    a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Damonza ByrdSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 6 wins

    I mean I believe in Russ a little bit more than you do. You can get six wins. They pull together six

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65-10 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins

    This also is not a bet demands because I think eleven winds is where it lands... I had the Commanders and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six

    Philadelphia Eagles

    a naive guess scored 95+10 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Damonza ByrdSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins

    but it is close to twenty so I would lean over on that

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins

    one of my bets will be Falcons over seven and a half at minus one forty

    Atlanta Falcons

    a naive guess scored 95+10 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    New York Giants to finish with 6 wins

    I will go over with the New York Giants. You just have to get to six wins.

    New York Giants

    a naive guess scored 65-10 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →
  • Close · 60Nick WrightSeason Win Totals

    Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins

    Lions over under is at ten and a half... I have to go with the plus money side, So I will say over

    Detroit Lions

    a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Aug 29, 2025the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (292 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.